Ružomberok vs Žilina: prediction and stats
Super LigaRegular Season - 10Kick-off on October 10, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Futbalový štadión MFK Ružomberok, Ružomberok
The Footlab model makes Žilina the favourite at 58%, against 22% for a draw and 20% for Ružomberok. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ružomberok vs Žilina?
Žilina starts as the favourite with a 180-point Elo edge (1,917 vs 1,736).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ružomberok have 3 wins, 3 draws and 9 defeats; Žilina have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Dukla Banská Bystrica(home) | 0-1 | Super Liga |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Spišské Podhradie(away) | 5-0 | Cup |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Slovan Bratislava(away) | 0-5 | Super Liga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Podbrezová(home) | 1-4 | Super Liga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Skalica(away) | 1-2 | Super Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Komárno(home) | 2-1 | Super Liga |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Dukla Banská Bystrica(away) | 4-3 | Super Liga |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Skalica(home) | 1-3 | Super Liga |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Zemplín Michalovce(away) | 1-0 | Super Liga |
| Jul 30, 2026 | GKS Katowice(away) | 1-3 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Ružomberok win(s), 3 draw(s), 1 Žilina win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Dec 6, 2025 | Žilina 1-2 Ružomberok | Super Liga |
| Aug 31, 2025 | Ružomberok 3-3 Žilina | Super Liga |
| Nov 3, 2024 | Ružomberok 1-0 Žilina | Super Liga |
| Oct 29, 2024 | Žilina 3-1 Ružomberok | Super Liga |
| May 11, 2024 | Ružomberok 1-1 Žilina | Super Liga |
| Apr 12, 2024 | Žilina 0-0 Ružomberok | Super Liga |
How many goals should we expect?
Ružomberok score 1.2 and concede 2.0 goals per match over their last 15; Žilina score 1.3 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ružomberok | 1.2 | 2.0 | 2 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Žilina | 1.3 | 1.7 | 2 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ružomberok sit 12th in Super Liga (1 points from 5 matches) and Žilina sit 4th (10 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Žilina | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 11 | 10 |
| 12 | Ružomberok | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 13 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ružomberok vs Žilina?
- The Footlab model makes Žilina the favourite at 58%, against 22% for a draw and 20% for Ružomberok.
- Where and when is Ružomberok vs Žilina played?
- Ružomberok vs Žilina is played on October 10, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Futbalový štadión MFK Ružomberok, in the Super Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.