Podbrezová vs Spartak Trnava: prediction and stats
Super LigaRegular Season - 10Kick-off on October 10, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC)ZELPO Aréna Podbrezová, Podbrezová
The Footlab model makes Spartak Trnava the favourite at 45%, against 25% for a draw and 30% for Podbrezová. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Podbrezová vs Spartak Trnava?
A very open match: only 80 Elo points separate Podbrezová (1,865) and Spartak Trnava (1,945).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Podbrezová have 8 wins, 0 draws and 7 defeats; Spartak Trnava have 8, 5 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Dunajska Streda(away) | 0-5 | Super Liga |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Rudňany(away) | 3-0 | Cup |
| Aug 15, 2026 | AS Trencin(home) | 2-1 | Super Liga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Ružomberok(away) | 4-1 | Super Liga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Slovan Bratislava(away) | 0-3 | Super Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | AS Trencin(away) | 4-0 | Super Liga |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Trenčianske Stankovce(home) | 3-0 | Cup |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Zemplín Michalovce(home) | 2-0 | Super Liga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Dukla Banská Bystrica(home) | 3-0 | Super Liga |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Komárno(away) | 2-1 | Super Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Podbrezová win(s), 0 draw(s), 4 Spartak Trnava win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 3, 2026 | Podbrezová 0-3 Spartak Trnava | Super Liga |
| Apr 5, 2026 | Spartak Trnava 4-1 Podbrezová | Super Liga |
| Mar 3, 2026 | Podbrezová 4-1 Spartak Trnava | Cup |
| Feb 21, 2026 | Spartak Trnava 0-5 Podbrezová | Super Liga |
| Dec 3, 2025 | Podbrezová 1-3 Spartak Trnava | Super Liga |
| May 17, 2025 | Spartak Trnava 2-1 Podbrezová | Super Liga |
Last archived meeting: Podbrezová vs Spartak Trnava on May 3, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Podbrezová score 1.8 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Spartak Trnava score 1.6 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Podbrezová | 1.8 | 1.7 | 5 | 6/15 | 11/15 |
| Spartak Trnava | 1.6 | 0.7 | 8 | 5/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Podbrezová sit 4th in Super Liga (9 points from 5 matches) and Spartak Trnava sit 1st (13 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Spartak Trnava | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 2 | 13 |
| 4 | Podbrezová | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 10 | 9 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Podbrezová vs Spartak Trnava?
- The Footlab model makes Spartak Trnava the favourite at 45%, against 25% for a draw and 30% for Podbrezová.
- Where and when is Podbrezová vs Spartak Trnava played?
- Podbrezová vs Spartak Trnava is played on October 10, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at ZELPO Aréna Podbrezová, in the Super Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.