ASA Aarhus vs Sundby: prediction and stats
3. DivisionRegular Season - 12Kick-off on October 17, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)ASA grounds (boldbaner), Århus
The Footlab AI model makes ASA Aarhus the favourite at 46%, against 25% for a draw and 29% for Sundby. The most likely score is 1-1. If ASA Aarhus wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,451 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win ASA Aarhus vs Sundby?
A very open match: only 1 Elo point separates ASA Aarhus (1,592) and Sundby (1,593).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for ASA Aarhus vs Sundby
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
ASA Aarhus
Not enough data to predict the ASA Aarhus lineup.
Sundby
4-3-3- 19K. Trkulja
- 9M. Krogh Hansen
- 13Nicolai Jacobsen
- 6J. Becker
- 10G. Pyne-Cole
- 2M. Langhorn
- 5M. Jorgensen
- 25Benjamin Juel-Berg
- 4Magnus Vandal
- 20Mohamed Belmaillah
- 24Lucas Poulsen
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 11:43 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, ASA Aarhus have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Sundby have 5, 1 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | FC Helsingor(away) | 1-2 | 3. Division |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Holbæk B&I(away) | 1-2 | 3. Division |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Hørsholm-Usserød(home) | 2-1 | 3. Division |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Brønshøj(away) | 1-5 | 3. Division |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Næsby(home) | 1-0 | 3. Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2026 | Ishøj(home) | 2-3 | 3. Division |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Vanløse(home) | 0-1 | 3. Division |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Frem(away) | 3-0 | 3. Division |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Holstebro(home) | 2-0 | 3. Division |
| Sep 13, 2026 | FC Helsingor(away) | 1-2 | 3. Division |
What does the head-to-head say?
In the last meeting: 0 ASA Aarhus wins, 0 draws, 1 Sundby win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 5, 2026 | Sundby 1-0 ASA Aarhus | 3. Division |
How many goals should we expect?
ASA Aarhus score 1.2 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Sundby score 1.6 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ASA Aarhus | 1.2 | 1.4 | 5 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Sundby | 1.6 | 2.1 | 4 | 8/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
ASA Aarhus sit 6th in 3. Division (16 points from 11 matches) and Sundby sit 10th (10 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | ASA Aarhus | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 15 | 16 | 16 |
| 10 | Sundby | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 16 | 19 | 10 |
A question about ASA Aarhus vs Sundby?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for ASA Aarhus vs Sundby?
- The Footlab AI model makes ASA Aarhus the favourite at 46%, against 25% for a draw and 29% for Sundby.
- Where and when is ASA Aarhus vs Sundby played?
- ASA Aarhus vs Sundby is played on October 17, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at ASA grounds (boldbaner), in the 3. Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.