Where and when is Ştefăneşti vs ASA Targu Mures played?

Ştefăneşti vs ASA Targu Mures is played on December 5, 2026 at 09:00 AM (UTC) at Stadionul Dumitru Mătărău, in the Liga II.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Ştefăneşti vs ASA Targu Mures: prediction and stats

Liga IIRegular Season - 16Kick-off on December 5, 2026 at 09:00 AM (UTC)Stadionul Dumitru Mătărău, Ştefăneştii de Sus

Ştefăneşti

ASA Targu Mures

The Footlab model makes Ştefăneşti the favourite at 50%, against 26% for a draw and 24% for ASA Targu Mures. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Ştefăneşti vs ASA Targu Mures?

A very open match: only 53 Elo points separate Ştefăneşti (1,580) and ASA Targu Mures (1,528).

Ştefăneşti win50 %

Draw26 %

ASA Targu Mures win24 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ştefăneşti have 9 wins, 1 draws and 5 defeats; ASA Targu Mures have 6, 3 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Ştefăneşti
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Cetatea Suceava(home)	3-1	Liga II
Aug 15, 2026	CSM Reşiţa(away)	0-2	Liga II
Aug 12, 2026	Tunari(away)	1-2	Cupa României
Aug 8, 2026	Dumbrăviţa(home)	1-0	Liga II
Aug 1, 2026	FC Bacau(away)	0-3	Liga II

ASA Targu Mures
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Gloria Bistriţa(home)	1-0	Liga II
Aug 19, 2026	FC Politehnica Timisoara(away)	1-2	Cupa României
Aug 15, 2026	Bihor Oradea(away)	1-1	Liga II
Aug 12, 2026	Gheorgheni(away)	2-0	Cupa României
Aug 8, 2026	Cetatea Suceava(home)	0-2	Liga II

How many goals should we expect?

Ştefăneşti score 1.7 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; ASA Targu Mures score 1.3 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Ştefăneşti	1.7	1.0	6	6/15	8/15
ASA Targu Mures	1.3	1.3	5	8/15	7/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Ştefăneşti sit 11th in Liga II (6 points from 4 matches) and ASA Targu Mures sit 14th (4 points from 4 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
11	Ştefăneşti	4	2	0	2	4	6	6
14	ASA Targu Mures	4	1	1	2	3	5	4

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Ştefăneşti vs ASA Targu Mures?: The Footlab model makes Ştefăneşti the favourite at 50%, against 26% for a draw and 24% for ASA Targu Mures.
Where and when is Ştefăneşti vs ASA Targu Mures played?: Ştefăneşti vs ASA Targu Mures is played on December 5, 2026 at 09:00 AM (UTC) at Stadionul Dumitru Mătărău, in the Liga II.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.