ASA vs Progresso: result 1-0 and analysis
GirabolaRegular Season - 10Kick-off on May 5, 2012 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Cidade Universitária, Luanda
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What was the result of ASA vs Progresso?
ASA won 1-0 on May 5, 2012.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 9 matches in all competitions, ASA have 5 wins, 3 draws and 1 defeats; Progresso have 3, 3 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 28, 2012 | Kabuscorp(away) | 2-0 | Girabola |
| Apr 21, 2012 | Interclube(home) | 3-1 | Girabola |
| Apr 14, 2012 | Atlético do Namibe(away) | 1-1 | Girabola |
| Apr 7, 2012 | Académica do Soyo(home) | 1-0 | Girabola |
| Mar 31, 2012 | Sagrada Esperança(away) | 2-1 | Girabola |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 29, 2012 | Benfica Luanda(home) | 3-1 | Girabola |
| Apr 21, 2012 | Sporting de Cabinda(away) | 3-2 | Girabola |
| Apr 12, 2012 | Recreativo do Libolo(away) | 0-1 | Girabola |
| Apr 1, 2012 | Bravos do Maquis FC(home) | 1-1 | Girabola |
| Mar 25, 2012 | Recreativo da Caála(away) | 0-1 | Girabola |
How many goals should we expect?
ASA score 1.4 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 9; Progresso score 1.1 and concede 0.9.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ASA | 1.4 | 0.7 | 4 | 5/9 | 3/9 |
| Progresso | 1.1 | 0.9 | 2 | 4/8 | 2/8 |
Over the last 9 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy