Asan Mugunghwa vs Busan I Park: prediction and stats
K League 2Regular Season - 34Kick-off on November 28, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Yishunsin Stadium, Asan
The Footlab model makes Asan Mugunghwa the favourite at 43%, against 26% for a draw and 31% for Busan I Park. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Asan Mugunghwa vs Busan I Park?
A very open match: only 18 Elo points separate Asan Mugunghwa (1,654) and Busan I Park (1,672).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Asan Mugunghwa have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Busan I Park have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Yongin City(home) | 2-1 | K League 2 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Daejeon Citizen(home) | 2-3 | FA Cup |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Daegu FC(away) | 0-2 | K League 2 |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Ansan Greeners(home) | 1-1 | K League 2 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Seongnam FC(home) | 2-0 | K League 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Daegu FC(away) | 1-1 | K League 2 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Bucheon FC 1995(home) | 0-0 | FA Cup |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Hwaseong(home) | 0-0 | K League 2 |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Yongin City(away) | 0-2 | K League 2 |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Seoul E-Land FC(home) | 1-2 | K League 2 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Asan Mugunghwa win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 Busan I Park win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 5, 2026 | Busan I Park 2-2 Asan Mugunghwa | K League 2 |
| Nov 8, 2025 | Busan I Park 0-3 Asan Mugunghwa | K League 2 |
| Aug 24, 2025 | Asan Mugunghwa 0-1 Busan I Park | K League 2 |
| May 4, 2025 | Busan I Park 2-0 Asan Mugunghwa | K League 2 |
| Aug 18, 2024 | Asan Mugunghwa 0-1 Busan I Park | K League 2 |
| Jun 16, 2024 | Asan Mugunghwa 0-0 Busan I Park | K League 2 |
Last archived meeting: Busan I Park vs Asan Mugunghwa on Jun 5, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Asan Mugunghwa score 1.5 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Busan I Park score 1.5 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Asan Mugunghwa | 1.5 | 1.5 | 3 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
| Busan I Park | 1.5 | 1.3 | 6 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Asan Mugunghwa sit 7th in K League 2 (31 points from 22 matches) and Busan I Park sit 5th (38 points from 22 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Busan I Park | 22 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 38 | 30 | 38 |
| 7 | Asan Mugunghwa | 22 | 8 | 7 | 7 | 31 | 27 | 31 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Asan Mugunghwa vs Busan I Park?
- The Footlab model makes Asan Mugunghwa the favourite at 43%, against 26% for a draw and 31% for Busan I Park.
- Where and when is Asan Mugunghwa vs Busan I Park played?
- Asan Mugunghwa vs Busan I Park is played on November 28, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Yishunsin Stadium, in the K League 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.