Gimpo Citizen vs Hwaseong: prediction and stats
K League 2Regular Season - 34Kick-off on November 28, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Gimpo Stadium, Gimpo
The Footlab model makes Gimpo Citizen the favourite at 38%, against 29% for a draw and 33% for Hwaseong. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Gimpo Citizen vs Hwaseong?
A very open match: only 17 Elo points separate Gimpo Citizen (1,684) and Hwaseong (1,667).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Gimpo Citizen have 7 wins, 6 draws and 2 defeats; Hwaseong have 8, 4 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 19, 2026 | Gimcheon Sangmu FC(home) | 2-1 | FA Cup |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Cheonan City(home) | 1-1 | K League 2 |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Cheongju(home) | 3-0 | K League 2 |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Gyeongnam FC(home) | 1-1 | K League 2 |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Incheon United(home) | 1-0 | FA Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Jeonnam Dragons(away) | 0-1 | K League 2 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Busan I Park(away) | 0-0 | K League 2 |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Seoul E-Land FC(home) | 0-0 | K League 2 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Daegu FC(home) | 5-1 | K League 2 |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Jeju United FC(away) | 3-3 | FA Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 5 Gimpo Citizen win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Hwaseong win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 19, 2026 | Hwaseong 2-2 Gimpo Citizen | K League 2 |
| Nov 1, 2025 | Gimpo Citizen 5-1 Hwaseong | K League 2 |
| Aug 2, 2025 | Hwaseong 0-1 Gimpo Citizen | K League 2 |
| May 10, 2025 | Gimpo Citizen 1-0 Hwaseong | K League 2 |
| Nov 9, 2021 | Gimpo Citizen 1-0 Hwaseong | K3 League |
| Jun 4, 2021 | Hwaseong 0-1 Gimpo Citizen | K3 League |
Last archived meeting: Hwaseong vs Gimpo Citizen on Apr 19, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Gimpo Citizen score 1.3 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Hwaseong score 2.1 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 44% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gimpo Citizen | 1.3 | 0.9 | 4 | 9/15 | 5/15 |
| Hwaseong | 2.1 | 1.3 | 5 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Gimpo Citizen sit 8th in K League 2 (31 points from 21 matches) and Hwaseong sit 6th (36 points from 22 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Hwaseong | 22 | 10 | 6 | 6 | 34 | 23 | 36 |
| 8 | Gimpo Citizen | 21 | 7 | 10 | 4 | 26 | 22 | 31 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Gimpo Citizen vs Hwaseong?
- The Footlab model makes Gimpo Citizen the favourite at 38%, against 29% for a draw and 33% for Hwaseong.
- Where and when is Gimpo Citizen vs Hwaseong played?
- Gimpo Citizen vs Hwaseong is played on November 28, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Gimpo Stadium, in the K League 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 44% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.