Match

Asante Kotoko vs Aduana Stars: prediction and stats

Premier LeagueRegular Season - 4Kick-off on September 26, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Baba Yara Stadium, Kumasi

Asante KotokoAduana Stars

The Footlab model makes Asante Kotoko the favourite at 51%, against 30% for a draw and 18% for Aduana Stars. The most likely score is 1-0.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Asante Kotoko vs Aduana Stars?

A very open match: only 15 Elo points separate Asante Kotoko (1,588) and Aduana Stars (1,573).

Asante Kotoko win51 %
Draw30 %
Aduana Stars win18 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Asante Kotoko have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Aduana Stars have 4, 5 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Asante Kotoko
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 24, 2026Swedru All Blacks(home)1-2Premier League
May 17, 2026Bechem United(away)1-3Premier League
May 10, 2026Eleven Wonders(home)2-0Premier League
May 3, 2026Dreams(away)0-2Premier League
Apr 12, 2026Medeama(away)0-4Premier League
Aduana Stars
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Jun 18, 2026Basake Holy Stars(away)0-0Friendlies Clubs
May 24, 2026Vision(away)0-3Premier League
May 17, 2026Young Apostles(home)3-1Premier League
May 10, 2026Hearts of Oak(away)0-0Premier League
May 6, 2026Basake Holy Stars(away)0-2Premier League

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Asante Kotoko win(s), 3 draw(s), 1 Aduana Stars win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Mar 29, 2026Aduana Stars 0-0 Asante KotokoPremier League
Feb 8, 2026Asante Kotoko 0-0 Aduana StarsCup
Nov 16, 2025Asante Kotoko 1-1 Aduana StarsPremier League
Apr 27, 2025Asante Kotoko 1-0 Aduana StarsPremier League
Nov 24, 2024Aduana Stars 0-2 Asante KotokoPremier League
Mar 17, 2024Aduana Stars 2-1 Asante KotokoPremier League

Last archived meeting: Aduana Stars vs Asante Kotoko on Mar 29, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Asante Kotoko score 0.9 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Aduana Stars score 0.7 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 31% probability of over 2.5 goals and 36% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Asante Kotoko0.91.274/157/15
Aduana Stars0.70.873/155/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Asante Kotoko sit 8th in Premier League (49 points from 34 matches) and Aduana Stars sit 6th (50 points from 34 matches).

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
6Aduana Stars34131110292450
8Asante Kotoko34131011412949

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Asante Kotoko vs Aduana Stars?
The Footlab model makes Asante Kotoko the favourite at 51%, against 30% for a draw and 18% for Aduana Stars.
Where and when is Asante Kotoko vs Aduana Stars played?
Asante Kotoko vs Aduana Stars is played on September 26, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Baba Yara Stadium, in the Premier League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 31% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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