Asante Kotoko vs Aduana Stars: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 4Kick-off on September 26, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Baba Yara Stadium, Kumasi
The Footlab model makes Asante Kotoko the favourite at 51%, against 30% for a draw and 18% for Aduana Stars. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Asante Kotoko vs Aduana Stars?
A very open match: only 15 Elo points separate Asante Kotoko (1,588) and Aduana Stars (1,573).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Asante Kotoko have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Aduana Stars have 4, 5 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 24, 2026 | Swedru All Blacks(home) | 1-2 | Premier League |
| May 17, 2026 | Bechem United(away) | 1-3 | Premier League |
| May 10, 2026 | Eleven Wonders(home) | 2-0 | Premier League |
| May 3, 2026 | Dreams(away) | 0-2 | Premier League |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Medeama(away) | 0-4 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 18, 2026 | Basake Holy Stars(away) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 24, 2026 | Vision(away) | 0-3 | Premier League |
| May 17, 2026 | Young Apostles(home) | 3-1 | Premier League |
| May 10, 2026 | Hearts of Oak(away) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| May 6, 2026 | Basake Holy Stars(away) | 0-2 | Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Asante Kotoko win(s), 3 draw(s), 1 Aduana Stars win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 29, 2026 | Aduana Stars 0-0 Asante Kotoko | Premier League |
| Feb 8, 2026 | Asante Kotoko 0-0 Aduana Stars | Cup |
| Nov 16, 2025 | Asante Kotoko 1-1 Aduana Stars | Premier League |
| Apr 27, 2025 | Asante Kotoko 1-0 Aduana Stars | Premier League |
| Nov 24, 2024 | Aduana Stars 0-2 Asante Kotoko | Premier League |
| Mar 17, 2024 | Aduana Stars 2-1 Asante Kotoko | Premier League |
Last archived meeting: Aduana Stars vs Asante Kotoko on Mar 29, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Asante Kotoko score 0.9 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Aduana Stars score 0.7 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 31% probability of over 2.5 goals and 36% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Asante Kotoko | 0.9 | 1.2 | 7 | 4/15 | 7/15 |
| Aduana Stars | 0.7 | 0.8 | 7 | 3/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Asante Kotoko sit 8th in Premier League (49 points from 34 matches) and Aduana Stars sit 6th (50 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Aduana Stars | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 29 | 24 | 50 |
| 8 | Asante Kotoko | 34 | 13 | 10 | 11 | 41 | 29 | 49 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Asante Kotoko vs Aduana Stars?
- The Footlab model makes Asante Kotoko the favourite at 51%, against 30% for a draw and 18% for Aduana Stars.
- Where and when is Asante Kotoko vs Aduana Stars played?
- Asante Kotoko vs Aduana Stars is played on September 26, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Baba Yara Stadium, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 31% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Sep 26, 2026Ashanti GoldvsDebibi United
- Sep 26, 2026Bechem UnitedvsDreams
- Sep 26, 2026Berekum ChelseavsVision
- Sep 26, 2026KarelavsHearts of Oak
- Sep 26, 2026MedeamavsBasake Holy Stars
- Sep 26, 2026Bibiani Gold StarsvsPort City
- Sep 26, 2026Swedru All BlacksvsSamartex
- Sep 26, 2026Young ApostlesvsHeart of Lions