Karela vs Hearts of Oak: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 4Kick-off on September 26, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Naa Sheriga Sports Complex, Nalerigu
The Footlab model makes Karela the favourite at 38%, against 37% for a draw and 26% for Hearts of Oak. The most likely score is 0-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Karela vs Hearts of Oak?
A very open match: only 68 Elo points separate Karela (1,569) and Hearts of Oak (1,637).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Karela have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Hearts of Oak have 5, 7 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 24, 2026 | Nations(home) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| May 17, 2026 | Swedru All Blacks(home) | 1-0 | Premier League |
| May 10, 2026 | Vision(away) | 0-3 | Premier League |
| May 6, 2026 | Hearts of Oak(away) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| May 3, 2026 | Young Apostles(home) | 2-1 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 24, 2026 | Medeama(home) | 4-2 | Premier League |
| May 17, 2026 | Samartex(away) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| May 10, 2026 | Aduana Stars(home) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| May 6, 2026 | Karela(home) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| May 3, 2026 | Nations(away) | 1-0 | Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Karela win(s), 3 draw(s), 2 Hearts of Oak win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 6, 2026 | Hearts of Oak 0-0 Karela | Premier League |
| Dec 7, 2025 | Karela 2-0 Hearts of Oak | Premier League |
| Apr 20, 2025 | Hearts of Oak 0-0 Karela | Premier League |
| Nov 17, 2024 | Karela 0-1 Hearts of Oak | Premier League |
| Apr 13, 2024 | Hearts of Oak 3-1 Karela | Premier League |
| Nov 4, 2023 | Karela 1-1 Hearts of Oak | Premier League |
Last archived meeting: Hearts of Oak vs Karela on May 6, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Karela score 0.9 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Hearts of Oak score 0.9 and concede 0.5. The model gives a 21% probability of over 2.5 goals and 30% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Karela | 0.9 | 0.9 | 8 | 3/15 | 4/15 |
| Hearts of Oak | 0.9 | 0.5 | 10 | 3/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Karela sit 9th in Premier League (49 points from 34 matches) and Hearts of Oak sit 3rd (54 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Hearts of Oak | 34 | 13 | 15 | 6 | 25 | 15 | 54 |
| 9 | Karela | 34 | 13 | 10 | 11 | 32 | 33 | 49 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Karela vs Hearts of Oak?
- The Footlab model makes Karela the favourite at 38%, against 37% for a draw and 26% for Hearts of Oak.
- Where and when is Karela vs Hearts of Oak played?
- Karela vs Hearts of Oak is played on September 26, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Naa Sheriga Sports Complex, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 21% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Sep 26, 2026Asante KotokovsAduana Stars
- Sep 26, 2026Ashanti GoldvsDebibi United
- Sep 26, 2026Bechem UnitedvsDreams
- Sep 26, 2026Berekum ChelseavsVision
- Sep 26, 2026MedeamavsBasake Holy Stars
- Sep 26, 2026Bibiani Gold StarsvsPort City
- Sep 26, 2026Swedru All BlacksvsSamartex
- Sep 26, 2026Young ApostlesvsHeart of Lions