Where and when is Medeama vs Basake Holy Stars played?

Medeama vs Basake Holy Stars is played on September 26, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at TNA Park, in the Premier League.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Medeama vs Basake Holy Stars: prediction and stats

Premier LeagueRegular Season - 4Kick-off on September 26, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)TNA Park, Tarkwa

Medeama

Basake Holy Stars

The Footlab model makes Medeama the favourite at 79%, against 15% for a draw and 5% for Basake Holy Stars. The most likely score is 2-0.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Medeama vs Basake Holy Stars?

Medeama starts as the favourite with a 145-point Elo edge (1,661 vs 1,516).

Medeama win79 %

Draw15 %

Basake Holy Stars win5 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Medeama have 8 wins, 1 draws and 6 defeats; Basake Holy Stars have 6, 3 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Medeama
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 12, 2026	ASEC Mimosas(away)	2-1	Friendlies Clubs
Aug 8, 2026	SOA(away)	1-2	Friendlies Clubs
May 27, 2026	Basake Holy Stars(home)	2-1	Friendlies Clubs
May 24, 2026	Hearts of Oak(away)	2-4	Premier League
May 17, 2026	Heart of Lions(home)	5-2	Premier League

Basake Holy Stars
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Jun 18, 2026	Aduana Stars(home)	0-0	Friendlies Clubs
May 27, 2026	Medeama(away)	1-2	Friendlies Clubs
May 24, 2026	Dreams(home)	1-4	Premier League
May 10, 2026	Medeama(home)	0-1	Premier League
May 6, 2026	Aduana Stars(home)	2-0	Premier League

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 5 Medeama win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Basake Holy Stars win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
May 27, 2026	Medeama 2-1 Basake Holy Stars	Friendlies Clubs
May 10, 2026	Basake Holy Stars 0-1 Medeama	Premier League
Dec 22, 2025	Medeama 1-1 Basake Holy Stars	Premier League
Apr 1, 2025	Medeama 2-1 Basake Holy Stars	Premier League
Sep 29, 2024	Basake Holy Stars 1-2 Medeama	Premier League
Dec 13, 2023	Medeama 1-0 Basake Holy Stars	Cup

Last archived meeting: Medeama vs Basake Holy Stars on May 27, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Medeama score 2.0 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Basake Holy Stars score 0.7 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 35% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Medeama	2.0	1.3	5	10/15	11/15
Basake Holy Stars	0.7	1.0	9	3/15	4/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Medeama sit 1st in Premier League (62 points from 34 matches) and Basake Holy Stars sit 12th (46 points from 34 matches).

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Medeama	34	17	11	6	52	28	62
12	Basake Holy Stars	34	13	7	14	30	39	46

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Medeama vs Basake Holy Stars?: The Footlab model makes Medeama the favourite at 79%, against 15% for a draw and 5% for Basake Holy Stars.
Where and when is Medeama vs Basake Holy Stars played?: Medeama vs Basake Holy Stars is played on September 26, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at TNA Park, in the Premier League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.