Asante Kotoko vs Medeama: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 9Kick-off on October 31, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Baba Yara Stadium, Kumasi
The Footlab model makes Asante Kotoko the favourite at 45%, against 27% for a draw and 28% for Medeama. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Asante Kotoko vs Medeama?
A very open match: only 72 Elo points separate Asante Kotoko (1,588) and Medeama (1,661).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Asante Kotoko have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Medeama have 8, 1 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 24, 2026 | Swedru All Blacks(home) | 1-2 | Premier League |
| May 17, 2026 | Bechem United(away) | 1-3 | Premier League |
| May 10, 2026 | Eleven Wonders(home) | 2-0 | Premier League |
| May 3, 2026 | Dreams(away) | 0-2 | Premier League |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Medeama(away) | 0-4 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 12, 2026 | ASEC Mimosas(away) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 8, 2026 | SOA(away) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 27, 2026 | Basake Holy Stars(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 24, 2026 | Hearts of Oak(away) | 2-4 | Premier League |
| May 17, 2026 | Heart of Lions(home) | 5-2 | Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Asante Kotoko win(s), 3 draw(s), 2 Medeama win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 12, 2026 | Medeama 4-0 Asante Kotoko | Premier League |
| Nov 30, 2025 | Asante Kotoko 2-2 Medeama | Premier League |
| Jun 1, 2025 | Asante Kotoko 3-2 Medeama | Premier League |
| Jan 5, 2025 | Medeama 1-1 Asante Kotoko | Premier League |
| Aug 16, 2024 | Medeama 2-1 Asante Kotoko | Friendlies Clubs |
| Apr 27, 2024 | Medeama 1-1 Asante Kotoko | Premier League |
Last archived meeting: Medeama vs Asante Kotoko on Apr 12, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Asante Kotoko score 0.9 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Medeama score 2.0 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Asante Kotoko | 0.9 | 1.2 | 7 | 4/15 | 7/15 |
| Medeama | 2.0 | 1.3 | 5 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Asante Kotoko sit 8th in Premier League (49 points from 34 matches) and Medeama sit 1st (62 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Medeama | 34 | 17 | 11 | 6 | 52 | 28 | 62 |
| 8 | Asante Kotoko | 34 | 13 | 10 | 11 | 41 | 29 | 49 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Asante Kotoko vs Medeama?
- The Footlab model makes Asante Kotoko the favourite at 45%, against 27% for a draw and 28% for Medeama.
- Where and when is Asante Kotoko vs Medeama played?
- Asante Kotoko vs Medeama is played on October 31, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Baba Yara Stadium, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 31, 2026Aduana StarsvsBerekum Chelsea
- Oct 31, 2026Heart of LionsvsBechem United
- Oct 31, 2026SamartexvsBibiani Gold Stars
- Oct 31, 2026Debibi UnitedvsHearts of Oak
- Oct 31, 2026Swedru All BlacksvsAshanti Gold
- Oct 31, 2026Basake Holy StarsvsDreams
- Oct 31, 2026VisionvsPort City
- Oct 31, 2026Young ApostlesvsKarela