Where and when is ASC Dortmund vs Gievenbeck played?

ASC Dortmund vs Gievenbeck is played on October 11, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Waldstadion Aplerbeck, in the Oberliga - Westfalen.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 71% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

ASC Dortmund vs Gievenbeck: prediction and stats

Oberliga - WestfalenWestfalen - 10Kick-off on October 11, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Waldstadion Aplerbeck, Dortmund

ASC Dortmund

Gievenbeck

The Footlab model makes ASC Dortmund the favourite at 64%, against 19% for a draw and 17% for Gievenbeck. The most likely score is 2-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win ASC Dortmund vs Gievenbeck?

ASC Dortmund starts as the favourite with a 140-point Elo edge (1,863 vs 1,724).

ASC Dortmund win64 %

Draw19 %

Gievenbeck win17 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, ASC Dortmund have 8 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats; Gievenbeck have 5, 4 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

ASC Dortmund
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	SpVgg Herne Horsthausen(away)	4-1	Oberliga - Westfalen
Aug 16, 2026	Vreden(away)	2-5	Oberliga - Westfalen
Aug 9, 2026	Maaslingen(away)	1-3	Oberliga - Westfalen
May 31, 2026	Ennepetal(away)	1-1	Oberliga - Westfalen
May 25, 2026	Vreden(home)	1-0	Oberliga - Westfalen

Gievenbeck
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	Erkenschwick(home)	0-1	Oberliga - Westfalen
Aug 16, 2026	Maaslingen(home)	3-1	Oberliga - Westfalen
Aug 9, 2026	Ennepetal(away)	1-1	Oberliga - Westfalen
May 30, 2026	Arminia II(home)	3-0	Oberliga - Westfalen
May 25, 2026	Verl II(away)	3-3	Oberliga - Westfalen

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 5 ASC Dortmund win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Gievenbeck win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Feb 21, 2026	Gievenbeck 1-1 ASC Dortmund	Oberliga - Westfalen
Aug 31, 2025	ASC Dortmund 1-0 Gievenbeck	Oberliga - Westfalen
May 11, 2025	Gievenbeck 2-3 ASC Dortmund	Oberliga - Westfalen
Nov 23, 2024	ASC Dortmund 3-2 Gievenbeck	Oberliga - Westfalen
May 12, 2024	ASC Dortmund 1-0 Gievenbeck	Oberliga - Westfalen
Nov 19, 2023	Gievenbeck 0-1 ASC Dortmund	Oberliga - Westfalen

Last archived meeting: Gievenbeck vs ASC Dortmund on Feb 21, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

ASC Dortmund score 1.8 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Gievenbeck score 1.9 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 71% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
ASC Dortmund	1.8	1.5	4	11/15	8/15
Gievenbeck	1.9	1.6	2	11/15	10/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

ASC Dortmund sit 16th in Oberliga - Westfalen (0 points from 2 matches) and Gievenbeck sit 9th (4 points from 3 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
9	Gievenbeck	3	1	1	1	4	3	4
16	ASC Dortmund	2	0	0	2	3	8	0

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for ASC Dortmund vs Gievenbeck?: The Footlab model makes ASC Dortmund the favourite at 64%, against 19% for a draw and 17% for Gievenbeck.
Where and when is ASC Dortmund vs Gievenbeck played?: ASC Dortmund vs Gievenbeck is played on October 11, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Waldstadion Aplerbeck, in the Oberliga - Westfalen.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 71% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.