Match

Vreden vs Ennepetal: prediction and stats

Oberliga - WestfalenWestfalen - 10Kick-off on October 11, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Hamalandstadion, Vreden

VredenEnnepetal

The Footlab model makes Vreden the favourite at 59%, against 21% for a draw and 20% for Ennepetal. The most likely score is 2-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Vreden vs Ennepetal?

A very open match: only 52 Elo points separate Vreden (1,672) and Ennepetal (1,620).

Vreden win59 %
Draw21 %
Ennepetal win20 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Vreden have 6 wins, 1 draws and 8 defeats; Ennepetal have 7, 3 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Vreden
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 16, 2026ASC Dortmund(home)5-2Oberliga - Westfalen
Aug 9, 2026Hiltrup(home)2-0Oberliga - Westfalen
May 31, 2026Erkenschwick(home)3-0Oberliga - Westfalen
May 25, 2026ASC Dortmund(away)0-1Oberliga - Westfalen
May 17, 2026Schermbeck(home)0-2Oberliga - Westfalen
Ennepetal
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026Westfalia Kinderhaus(home)2-2Oberliga - Westfalen
Aug 16, 2026Erkenschwick(away)0-1Oberliga - Westfalen
Aug 9, 2026Gievenbeck(home)1-1Oberliga - Westfalen
Jul 19, 2026Westfalia Rhynern(home)1-5Friendlies Clubs
May 31, 2026ASC Dortmund(home)1-1Oberliga - Westfalen

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 5 Vreden win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Ennepetal win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Mar 8, 2026Ennepetal 0-3 VredenOberliga - Westfalen
Sep 14, 2025Vreden 2-0 EnnepetalOberliga - Westfalen
Apr 17, 2025Vreden 4-1 EnnepetalOberliga - Westfalen
Oct 27, 2024Ennepetal 3-1 VredenOberliga - Westfalen
Apr 1, 2024Vreden 1-0 EnnepetalOberliga - Westfalen
Oct 8, 2023Ennepetal 0-2 VredenOberliga - Westfalen

Last archived meeting: Ennepetal vs Vreden on Mar 8, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Vreden score 1.5 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Ennepetal score 1.1 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 67% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Vreden1.51.948/159/15
Ennepetal1.11.448/157/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Vreden sit 4th in Oberliga - Westfalen (6 points from 2 matches) and Ennepetal sit 14th (2 points from 3 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
4Vreden2200726
14Ennepetal3021342

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Vreden vs Ennepetal?
The Footlab model makes Vreden the favourite at 59%, against 21% for a draw and 20% for Ennepetal.
Where and when is Vreden vs Ennepetal played?
Vreden vs Ennepetal is played on October 11, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Hamalandstadion, in the Oberliga - Westfalen.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 67% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Vreden and Ennepetal

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