Hiltrup vs Erkenschwick: prediction and stats
Oberliga - WestfalenWestfalen - 10Kick-off on October 11, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Rasenplatz TuS Hiltrup, Münster
The Footlab model makes Erkenschwick the favourite at 38%, against 27% for a draw and 34% for Hiltrup. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Hiltrup vs Erkenschwick?
A very open match: only 39 Elo points separate Hiltrup (1,612) and Erkenschwick (1,651).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Hiltrup have 3 wins, 1 draws and 11 defeats; Erkenschwick have 3, 6 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Sprockhovel(away) | 0-7 | Oberliga - Westfalen |
| Aug 16, 2026 | SpVgg Herne Horsthausen(home) | 0-3 | Oberliga - Westfalen |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Vreden(away) | 0-2 | Oberliga - Westfalen |
| Jul 8, 2026 | Wiedenbrück(away) | 0-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 25, 2026 | Sprockhovel(home) | 1-0 | Oberliga - Westfalen |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Gievenbeck(away) | 1-0 | Oberliga - Westfalen |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Ennepetal(home) | 1-0 | Oberliga - Westfalen |
| Aug 9, 2026 | TuS Hordel(away) | 1-1 | Oberliga - Westfalen |
| May 31, 2026 | Vreden(away) | 0-3 | Oberliga - Westfalen |
| May 25, 2026 | SG Wattenscheid 09(home) | 1-5 | Oberliga - Westfalen |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 2 Hiltrup win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Erkenschwick win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 15, 2026 | Erkenschwick 0-1 Hiltrup | Oberliga - Westfalen |
| Sep 21, 2025 | Hiltrup 3-1 Erkenschwick | Oberliga - Westfalen |
Last archived meeting: Erkenschwick vs Hiltrup on Mar 15, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Hiltrup score 0.5 and concede 2.3 goals per match over their last 15; Erkenschwick score 0.9 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hiltrup | 0.5 | 2.3 | 2 | 3/15 | 7/15 |
| Erkenschwick | 0.9 | 1.5 | 6 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Hiltrup sit 18th in Oberliga - Westfalen (0 points from 3 matches) and Erkenschwick sit 3rd (7 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Erkenschwick | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 7 |
| 18 | Hiltrup | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 12 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Hiltrup vs Erkenschwick?
- The Footlab model makes Erkenschwick the favourite at 38%, against 27% for a draw and 34% for Hiltrup.
- Where and when is Hiltrup vs Erkenschwick played?
- Hiltrup vs Erkenschwick is played on October 11, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Rasenplatz TuS Hiltrup, in the Oberliga - Westfalen.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 11, 2026SpVgg Herne HorsthausenvsTuS Hordel
- Oct 11, 2026SprockhovelvsLippstadt 08
- Oct 11, 2026Eintracht RheinevsSchermbeck
- Oct 11, 2026Victoria ClarholzvsMaaslingen
- Oct 11, 2026VredenvsEnnepetal
- Oct 11, 2026ASC DortmundvsGievenbeck
- Oct 11, 2026Arminia IIvsPreußen Münster II
- Oct 11, 2026Verl IIvsWestfalia Kinderhaus