Match

Hiltrup vs Erkenschwick: prediction and stats

Oberliga - WestfalenWestfalen - 10Kick-off on October 11, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Rasenplatz TuS Hiltrup, Münster

HiltrupErkenschwick

The Footlab model makes Erkenschwick the favourite at 38%, against 27% for a draw and 34% for Hiltrup. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Hiltrup vs Erkenschwick?

A very open match: only 39 Elo points separate Hiltrup (1,612) and Erkenschwick (1,651).

Hiltrup win34 %
Draw27 %
Erkenschwick win38 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Hiltrup have 3 wins, 1 draws and 11 defeats; Erkenschwick have 3, 6 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Hiltrup
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026Sprockhovel(away)0-7Oberliga - Westfalen
Aug 16, 2026SpVgg Herne Horsthausen(home)0-3Oberliga - Westfalen
Aug 9, 2026Vreden(away)0-2Oberliga - Westfalen
Jul 8, 2026Wiedenbrück(away)0-3Friendlies Clubs
May 25, 2026Sprockhovel(home)1-0Oberliga - Westfalen
Erkenschwick
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026Gievenbeck(away)1-0Oberliga - Westfalen
Aug 16, 2026Ennepetal(home)1-0Oberliga - Westfalen
Aug 9, 2026TuS Hordel(away)1-1Oberliga - Westfalen
May 31, 2026Vreden(away)0-3Oberliga - Westfalen
May 25, 2026SG Wattenscheid 09(home)1-5Oberliga - Westfalen

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 2 Hiltrup win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Erkenschwick win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Mar 15, 2026Erkenschwick 0-1 HiltrupOberliga - Westfalen
Sep 21, 2025Hiltrup 3-1 ErkenschwickOberliga - Westfalen

Last archived meeting: Erkenschwick vs Hiltrup on Mar 15, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Hiltrup score 0.5 and concede 2.3 goals per match over their last 15; Erkenschwick score 0.9 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Hiltrup0.52.323/157/15
Erkenschwick0.91.567/156/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Hiltrup sit 18th in Oberliga - Westfalen (0 points from 3 matches) and Erkenschwick sit 3rd (7 points from 3 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
3Erkenschwick3210317
18Hiltrup30030120

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Hiltrup vs Erkenschwick?
The Footlab model makes Erkenschwick the favourite at 38%, against 27% for a draw and 34% for Hiltrup.
Where and when is Hiltrup vs Erkenschwick played?
Hiltrup vs Erkenschwick is played on October 11, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Rasenplatz TuS Hiltrup, in the Oberliga - Westfalen.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Hiltrup and Erkenschwick

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