Sprockhovel vs ASC Dortmund: prediction and stats
Oberliga - WestfalenWestfalen - 21Kick-off on March 7, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Klein Arena, Sprockhövel
The Footlab model makes ASC Dortmund the favourite at 46%, against 22% for a draw and 32% for Sprockhovel. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Sprockhovel vs ASC Dortmund?
ASC Dortmund starts as the favourite with a 218-point Elo edge (1,863 vs 1,645).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sprockhovel have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; ASC Dortmund have 8, 4 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Hiltrup(home) | 7-0 | Oberliga - Westfalen |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Verl II(away) | 1-3 | Oberliga - Westfalen |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Arminia II(home) | 2-2 | Oberliga - Westfalen |
| May 25, 2026 | Hiltrup(away) | 0-1 | Oberliga - Westfalen |
| May 10, 2026 | Gievenbeck(home) | 3-1 | Oberliga - Westfalen |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | SpVgg Herne Horsthausen(away) | 4-1 | Oberliga - Westfalen |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Vreden(away) | 2-5 | Oberliga - Westfalen |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Maaslingen(away) | 1-3 | Oberliga - Westfalen |
| May 31, 2026 | Ennepetal(away) | 1-1 | Oberliga - Westfalen |
| May 25, 2026 | Vreden(home) | 1-0 | Oberliga - Westfalen |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Sprockhovel win(s), 1 draw(s), 5 ASC Dortmund win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 1, 2026 | ASC Dortmund 8-0 Sprockhovel | Oberliga - Westfalen |
| Sep 7, 2025 | Sprockhovel 0-0 ASC Dortmund | Oberliga - Westfalen |
| Mar 17, 2024 | Sprockhovel 3-5 ASC Dortmund | Oberliga - Westfalen |
| Sep 17, 2023 | ASC Dortmund 3-0 Sprockhovel | Oberliga - Westfalen |
| Apr 28, 2023 | Sprockhovel 1-2 ASC Dortmund | Oberliga - Westfalen |
| Nov 4, 2022 | ASC Dortmund 2-1 Sprockhovel | Oberliga - Westfalen |
Last archived meeting: ASC Dortmund vs Sprockhovel on Mar 1, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Sprockhovel score 1.7 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; ASC Dortmund score 1.8 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 72% probability of over 2.5 goals and 71% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sprockhovel | 1.7 | 1.8 | 2 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
| ASC Dortmund | 1.8 | 1.5 | 4 | 11/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Sprockhovel sit 6th in Oberliga - Westfalen (4 points from 3 matches) and ASC Dortmund sit 16th (0 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Sprockhovel | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 5 | 4 |
| 16 | ASC Dortmund | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Sprockhovel vs ASC Dortmund?
- The Footlab model makes ASC Dortmund the favourite at 46%, against 22% for a draw and 32% for Sprockhovel.
- Where and when is Sprockhovel vs ASC Dortmund played?
- Sprockhovel vs ASC Dortmund is played on March 7, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Klein Arena, in the Oberliga - Westfalen.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 72% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Mar 7, 2027Eintracht RheinevsHiltrup
- Mar 7, 2027MaaslingenvsErkenschwick
- Mar 7, 2027SpVgg Herne HorsthausenvsVreden
- Mar 7, 2027Lippstadt 08vsArminia II
- Mar 7, 2027GievenbeckvsWestfalia Kinderhaus
- Mar 7, 2027SchermbeckvsVerl II
- Mar 7, 2027EnnepetalvsPreußen Münster II
- Mar 7, 2027TuS HordelvsVictoria Clarholz