Where and when is ASC Dortmund vs TuS Hordel played?

ASC Dortmund vs TuS Hordel is played on September 27, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Waldstadion Aplerbeck, in the Oberliga - Westfalen.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 68% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

ASC Dortmund vs TuS Hordel: prediction and stats

Oberliga - WestfalenWestfalen - 8Kick-off on September 27, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Waldstadion Aplerbeck, Dortmund

ASC Dortmund

TuS Hordel

The Footlab model makes ASC Dortmund the favourite at 61%, against 20% for a draw and 18% for TuS Hordel. The most likely score is 2-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Limited history for at least one of the two teams: read this prediction with caution.

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win ASC Dortmund vs TuS Hordel?

ASC Dortmund starts as the favourite with a 116-point Elo edge (1,863 vs 1,747).

ASC Dortmund win61 %

Draw20 %

TuS Hordel win18 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, ASC Dortmund have 8 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats; TuS Hordel have 1, 1 and 1.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

ASC Dortmund
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	SpVgg Herne Horsthausen(away)	4-1	Oberliga - Westfalen
Aug 16, 2026	Vreden(away)	2-5	Oberliga - Westfalen
Aug 9, 2026	Maaslingen(away)	1-3	Oberliga - Westfalen
May 31, 2026	Ennepetal(away)	1-1	Oberliga - Westfalen
May 25, 2026	Vreden(home)	1-0	Oberliga - Westfalen

TuS Hordel
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	Preußen Münster II(home)	4-2	Oberliga - Westfalen
Aug 16, 2026	Westfalia Kinderhaus(away)	0-1	Oberliga - Westfalen
Aug 9, 2026	Erkenschwick(home)	1-1	Oberliga - Westfalen

How many goals should we expect?

ASC Dortmund score 1.8 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; TuS Hordel score 1.7 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 68% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
ASC Dortmund	1.8	1.5	4	11/15	8/15
TuS Hordel	1.7	1.3	0	2/3	1/3

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

ASC Dortmund sit 16th in Oberliga - Westfalen (0 points from 2 matches) and TuS Hordel sit 15th (1 points from 2 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
15	TuS Hordel	2	0	1	1	1	2	1
16	ASC Dortmund	2	0	0	2	3	8	0

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for ASC Dortmund vs TuS Hordel?: The Footlab model makes ASC Dortmund the favourite at 61%, against 20% for a draw and 18% for TuS Hordel.
Where and when is ASC Dortmund vs TuS Hordel played?: ASC Dortmund vs TuS Hordel is played on September 27, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Waldstadion Aplerbeck, in the Oberliga - Westfalen.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 68% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.