Verl II vs Gievenbeck: prediction and stats
Oberliga - WestfalenWestfalen - 8Kick-off on September 27, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)SPORTCLUB Arena, Verl
The Footlab model makes Gievenbeck the favourite at 43%, against 24% for a draw and 33% for Verl II. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Verl II vs Gievenbeck?
A very open match: only 81 Elo points separate Verl II (1,643) and Gievenbeck (1,724).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Verl II have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Gievenbeck have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Eintracht Rheine(away) | 1-2 | Oberliga - Westfalen |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Sprockhovel(home) | 3-1 | Oberliga - Westfalen |
| Jul 11, 2026 | Hannover 96 II(away) | 0-8 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 25, 2026 | Gievenbeck(home) | 3-3 | Oberliga - Westfalen |
| May 17, 2026 | Rot Weiss Ahlen(home) | 1-4 | Oberliga - Westfalen |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Erkenschwick(home) | 0-1 | Oberliga - Westfalen |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Maaslingen(home) | 3-1 | Oberliga - Westfalen |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Ennepetal(away) | 1-1 | Oberliga - Westfalen |
| May 30, 2026 | Arminia II(home) | 3-0 | Oberliga - Westfalen |
| May 25, 2026 | Verl II(away) | 3-3 | Oberliga - Westfalen |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 2 Verl II win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Gievenbeck win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 25, 2026 | Verl II 3-3 Gievenbeck | Oberliga - Westfalen |
| Dec 7, 2025 | Gievenbeck 0-1 Verl II | Oberliga - Westfalen |
| Feb 16, 2025 | Verl II 2-0 Gievenbeck | Oberliga - Westfalen |
| Sep 1, 2024 | Gievenbeck 3-1 Verl II | Oberliga - Westfalen |
Last archived meeting: Verl II vs Gievenbeck on May 25, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Verl II score 1.4 and concede 2.0 goals per match over their last 15; Gievenbeck score 1.9 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 64% probability of over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Verl II | 1.4 | 2.0 | 3 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Gievenbeck | 1.9 | 1.6 | 2 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Verl II sit 5th in Oberliga - Westfalen (6 points from 3 matches) and Gievenbeck sit 9th (4 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Verl II | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 6 |
| 9 | Gievenbeck | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Verl II vs Gievenbeck?
- The Footlab model makes Gievenbeck the favourite at 43%, against 24% for a draw and 33% for Verl II.
- Where and when is Verl II vs Gievenbeck played?
- Verl II vs Gievenbeck is played on September 27, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at SPORTCLUB Arena, in the Oberliga - Westfalen.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Sep 27, 2026ASC DortmundvsTuS Hordel
- Sep 27, 2026SprockhovelvsEintracht Rheine
- Sep 27, 2026HiltrupvsEnnepetal
- Sep 27, 2026Preußen Münster IIvsMaaslingen
- Sep 27, 2026Victoria ClarholzvsWestfalia Kinderhaus
- Sep 27, 2026VredenvsLippstadt 08
- Sep 27, 2026Arminia IIvsErkenschwick
- Sep 27, 2026SpVgg Herne HorsthausenvsSchermbeck