Match

Arminia II vs Erkenschwick: prediction and stats

Oberliga - WestfalenWestfalen - 8Kick-off on September 27, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Bezirkssportanlage Rußheide, Bielefeld

Arminia IIErkenschwick

The Footlab model makes Arminia II the favourite at 53%, against 24% for a draw and 23% for Erkenschwick. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Arminia II vs Erkenschwick?

A very open match: only 66 Elo points separate Arminia II (1,717) and Erkenschwick (1,651).

Arminia II win53 %
Draw24 %
Erkenschwick win23 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Arminia II have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Erkenschwick have 3, 6 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Arminia II
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 21, 2026Schermbeck(away)4-1Oberliga - Westfalen
Aug 15, 2026Eintracht Rheine(home)1-2Oberliga - Westfalen
Aug 8, 2026Sprockhovel(away)2-2Oberliga - Westfalen
May 30, 2026Gievenbeck(away)0-3Oberliga - Westfalen
May 25, 2026Rot Weiss Ahlen(home)2-0Oberliga - Westfalen
Erkenschwick
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026Gievenbeck(away)1-0Oberliga - Westfalen
Aug 16, 2026Ennepetal(home)1-0Oberliga - Westfalen
Aug 9, 2026TuS Hordel(away)1-1Oberliga - Westfalen
May 31, 2026Vreden(away)0-3Oberliga - Westfalen
May 25, 2026SG Wattenscheid 09(home)1-5Oberliga - Westfalen

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Arminia II win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Erkenschwick win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Mar 29, 2026Erkenschwick 0-0 Arminia IIOberliga - Westfalen
Oct 5, 2025Arminia II 3-1 ErkenschwickOberliga - Westfalen

Last archived meeting: Erkenschwick vs Arminia II on Mar 29, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Arminia II score 1.7 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Erkenschwick score 0.9 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Arminia II1.71.549/159/15
Erkenschwick0.91.567/156/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Arminia II sit 8th in Oberliga - Westfalen (4 points from 3 matches) and Erkenschwick sit 3rd (7 points from 3 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
3Erkenschwick3210317
8Arminia II3111754

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Arminia II vs Erkenschwick?
The Footlab model makes Arminia II the favourite at 53%, against 24% for a draw and 23% for Erkenschwick.
Where and when is Arminia II vs Erkenschwick played?
Arminia II vs Erkenschwick is played on September 27, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Bezirkssportanlage Rußheide, in the Oberliga - Westfalen.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Arminia II and Erkenschwick

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