Arminia II vs Erkenschwick: prediction and stats
Oberliga - WestfalenWestfalen - 8Kick-off on September 27, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Bezirkssportanlage Rußheide, Bielefeld
The Footlab model makes Arminia II the favourite at 53%, against 24% for a draw and 23% for Erkenschwick. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Arminia II vs Erkenschwick?
A very open match: only 66 Elo points separate Arminia II (1,717) and Erkenschwick (1,651).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Arminia II have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Erkenschwick have 3, 6 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Schermbeck(away) | 4-1 | Oberliga - Westfalen |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Eintracht Rheine(home) | 1-2 | Oberliga - Westfalen |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Sprockhovel(away) | 2-2 | Oberliga - Westfalen |
| May 30, 2026 | Gievenbeck(away) | 0-3 | Oberliga - Westfalen |
| May 25, 2026 | Rot Weiss Ahlen(home) | 2-0 | Oberliga - Westfalen |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Gievenbeck(away) | 1-0 | Oberliga - Westfalen |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Ennepetal(home) | 1-0 | Oberliga - Westfalen |
| Aug 9, 2026 | TuS Hordel(away) | 1-1 | Oberliga - Westfalen |
| May 31, 2026 | Vreden(away) | 0-3 | Oberliga - Westfalen |
| May 25, 2026 | SG Wattenscheid 09(home) | 1-5 | Oberliga - Westfalen |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Arminia II win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Erkenschwick win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 29, 2026 | Erkenschwick 0-0 Arminia II | Oberliga - Westfalen |
| Oct 5, 2025 | Arminia II 3-1 Erkenschwick | Oberliga - Westfalen |
Last archived meeting: Erkenschwick vs Arminia II on Mar 29, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Arminia II score 1.7 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Erkenschwick score 0.9 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arminia II | 1.7 | 1.5 | 4 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| Erkenschwick | 0.9 | 1.5 | 6 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Arminia II sit 8th in Oberliga - Westfalen (4 points from 3 matches) and Erkenschwick sit 3rd (7 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Erkenschwick | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 7 |
| 8 | Arminia II | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Arminia II vs Erkenschwick?
- The Footlab model makes Arminia II the favourite at 53%, against 24% for a draw and 23% for Erkenschwick.
- Where and when is Arminia II vs Erkenschwick played?
- Arminia II vs Erkenschwick is played on September 27, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Bezirkssportanlage Rußheide, in the Oberliga - Westfalen.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Sep 27, 2026SpVgg Herne HorsthausenvsSchermbeck
- Sep 27, 2026SprockhovelvsEintracht Rheine
- Sep 27, 2026HiltrupvsEnnepetal
- Sep 27, 2026Preußen Münster IIvsMaaslingen
- Sep 27, 2026Victoria ClarholzvsWestfalia Kinderhaus
- Sep 27, 2026VredenvsLippstadt 08
- Sep 27, 2026ASC DortmundvsTuS Hordel
- Sep 27, 2026Verl IIvsGievenbeck