Ascoli vs Hellas Verona: prediction and stats
Serie BRegular Season - 37Kick-off on May 8, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Cino e Lillo Del Duca, Ascoli Piceno
The Footlab AI model makes Ascoli the favourite at 53%, against 26% for a draw and 21% for Hellas Verona. The most likely score is 1-1. If Ascoli wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,402 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ascoli vs Hellas Verona?
On Elo ratings, Ascoli has 1,888 points and Hellas Verona 1,793.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Ascoli vs Hellas Verona
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Ascoli
4-2-3-1- 35G. Gori
- 62T. Milanese
- 15S. D'Uffizi
- 8G. Corradini
- 4S. Damiani
- 7A. Silipo
- 30M. Curado
- 19A. Guiébré
- 33N. Rizzo
- 14A. Oliveri
- 1S. Vitale
Hellas Verona
4-4-2- 25D. Mosquera
- 14D. Livramento
- 9A. Sarr
- 17A. Le Borgne
- 44E. Iannoni
- 23N. Lella
- 4G. Zappa
- 27P. Dawidowicz
- 71D. De Battisti
- 5A. Edmundsson
- 34S. Perilli
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 07:32 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ascoli have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Hellas Verona have 8, 3 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Sudtirol(away) | 0-0 | Serie B |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Avellino(home) | 3-1 | Serie B |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Padova(away) | 0-1 | Serie B |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Benevento(home) | 1-0 | Serie B |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Carrarese(home) | 1-1 | Serie B |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Modena(away) | 2-3 | Serie B |
| Oct 2, 2026 | FC Lugano(away) | 3-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Vicenza Virtus(home) | 2-1 | Serie B |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Benevento(away) | 1-3 | Serie B |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Arezzo(home) | 5-0 | Serie B |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Ascoli wins, 2 draws, 2 Hellas Verona wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Hellas Verona 1-2 Ascoli | Serie B |
| Aug 12, 2023 | Hellas Verona 3-1 Ascoli | Coppa Italia |
| Mar 16, 2019 | Hellas Verona 1-1 Ascoli | Serie B |
| Oct 30, 2018 | Ascoli 1-0 Hellas Verona | Serie B |
| Mar 13, 2017 | Hellas Verona 0-0 Ascoli | Serie B |
| Oct 15, 2016 | Ascoli 1-4 Hellas Verona | Serie B |
Last archived meeting: Hellas Verona vs Ascoli on Aug 23, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Ascoli score 1.5 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Hellas Verona score 2.3 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ascoli | 1.5 | 1.0 | 5 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Hellas Verona | 2.3 | 1.3 | 3 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ascoli sit 5th in Serie B (11 points from 6 matches) and Hellas Verona sit 9th (7 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Ascoli | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 11 |
| 9 | Hellas Verona | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 10 | 7 |
A question about Ascoli vs Hellas Verona?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ascoli vs Hellas Verona?
- The Footlab AI model makes Ascoli the favourite at 53%, against 26% for a draw and 21% for Hellas Verona.
- Where and when is Ascoli vs Hellas Verona played?
- Ascoli vs Hellas Verona is played on May 8, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Cino e Lillo Del Duca, in the Serie B.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.