Ascoli vs Hellas Verona: prediction and stats
Serie BRegular Season - 37Kick-off on May 8, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Cino e Lillo Del Duca, Ascoli Piceno
The Footlab model makes Ascoli the favourite at 60%, against 24% for a draw and 17% for Hellas Verona. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ascoli vs Hellas Verona?
Ascoli starts as the favourite with a 144-point Elo edge (1,968 vs 1,823).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ascoli have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; Hellas Verona have 4, 4 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Hellas Verona(away) | 2-1 | Serie B |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Genoa(away) | 1-4 | Coppa Italia |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Potenza(home) | 3-1 | Coppa Italia |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Lazio(home) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Frosinone(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Ascoli(home) | 1-2 | Serie B |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Virtus Entella(home) | 2-2 | Coppa Italia |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Lecco(home) | 3-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Dolomiti Bellunesi(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 22, 2026 | Virtus Verona(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Ascoli win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Hellas Verona win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Hellas Verona 1-2 Ascoli | Serie B |
| Aug 12, 2023 | Hellas Verona 3-1 Ascoli | Coppa Italia |
| Mar 16, 2019 | Hellas Verona 1-1 Ascoli | Serie B |
| Oct 30, 2018 | Ascoli 1-0 Hellas Verona | Serie B |
| Mar 13, 2017 | Hellas Verona 0-0 Ascoli | Serie B |
| Oct 15, 2016 | Ascoli 1-4 Hellas Verona | Serie B |
Last archived meeting: Hellas Verona vs Ascoli on Aug 23, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Ascoli score 1.5 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Hellas Verona score 1.3 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ascoli | 1.5 | 0.9 | 6 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
| Hellas Verona | 1.3 | 1.1 | 3 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ascoli sit 2nd in Serie B (3 points from 1 matches) and Hellas Verona sit 16th (0 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Ascoli | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 16 | Hellas Verona | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ascoli vs Hellas Verona?
- The Footlab model makes Ascoli the favourite at 60%, against 24% for a draw and 17% for Hellas Verona.
- Where and when is Ascoli vs Hellas Verona played?
- Ascoli vs Hellas Verona is played on May 8, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Cino e Lillo Del Duca, in the Serie B.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.