Virtus Entella vs Padova: prediction and stats
Serie BRegular Season - 37Kick-off on May 8, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Comunale Chiavari, Chiavari
The Footlab model makes Virtus Entella the favourite at 50%, against 26% for a draw and 24% for Padova. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Virtus Entella vs Padova?
A very open match: only 16 Elo points separate Virtus Entella (1,819) and Padova (1,835).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Virtus Entella have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Padova have 6, 1 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Sudtirol(away) | 0-1 | Serie B |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Hellas Verona(away) | 2-2 | Coppa Italia |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Carrarese(home) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Novara(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Empoli(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Pisa(away) | 1-0 | Serie B |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Udinese(away) | 0-1 | Coppa Italia |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Monza(away) | 3-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Cittadella(away) | 2-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Ospitaletto(home) | 1-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 2 Virtus Entella win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Padova win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 25, 2026 | Virtus Entella 1-0 Padova | Serie B |
| Sep 21, 2025 | Padova 2-1 Virtus Entella | Serie B |
| May 17, 2025 | Padova 0-1 Virtus Entella | Serie C - Supercoppa Lega Finals |
| Nov 3, 2021 | Padova 2-1 Virtus Entella | Coppa Italia Serie C |
Last archived meeting: Virtus Entella vs Padova on Apr 25, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Virtus Entella score 0.9 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Padova score 1.1 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Virtus Entella | 0.9 | 1.1 | 3 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
| Padova | 1.1 | 1.6 | 5 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Virtus Entella sit 19th in Serie B (0 points from 1 matches) and Padova sit 6th (3 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Padova | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 19 | Virtus Entella | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Virtus Entella vs Padova?
- The Footlab model makes Virtus Entella the favourite at 50%, against 26% for a draw and 24% for Padova.
- Where and when is Virtus Entella vs Padova played?
- Virtus Entella vs Padova is played on May 8, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Comunale Chiavari, in the Serie B.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.