Virtus Entella vs Padova: prediction and stats
Serie BRegular Season - 37Kick-off on May 8, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Comunale Chiavari, Chiavari
The Footlab AI model makes Virtus Entella the favourite at 48%, against 27% for a draw and 25% for Padova. The most likely score is 1-1. If Virtus Entella wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,403 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Virtus Entella vs Padova?
A very open match: only 22 Elo points separate Virtus Entella (1,756) and Padova (1,735).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Virtus Entella vs Padova
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Virtus Entella
3-5-2- 11Bernat Guiu
- 10L. Cuppone
- 24A. Franzoni
- 5N. Squizzato
- 8L. Vignali
- 80L. Benedetti
- 26Z. Menyhárt
- 23L. Parodi
- 27M. Alborghetti
- 6A. Tiritiello
- 22F. Del Frate
Padova
3-5-2- 9L. Moro
- 20M. Bortolussi
- 21E. Zuelli
- 8P. Fusi
- 34M. Cocchi
- 17A. Capelli
- 10G. Caprari
- 27Alessandro Dellavalle
- 5M. Lovato
- 58C. Pastina
- 22A. Sorrentino
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 04:25 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Virtus Entella have 4 wins, 6 draws and 5 defeats; Padova have 6, 2 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Juve Stabia(home) | 1-1 | Serie B |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Cremonese(away) | 0-0 | Serie B |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Pisa(away) | 4-1 | Serie B |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Vicenza Virtus(home) | 2-2 | Serie B |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Cesena(home) | 1-2 | Serie B |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Carrarese(home) | 0-2 | Serie B |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Palermo(away) | 1-2 | Serie B |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Ascoli(home) | 1-0 | Serie B |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Cremonese(away) | 1-3 | Serie B |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Hellas Verona(home) | 1-1 | Serie B |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 2 Virtus Entella wins, 0 draws, 2 Padova wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 25, 2026 | Virtus Entella 1-0 Padova | Serie B |
| Sep 21, 2025 | Padova 2-1 Virtus Entella | Serie B |
| May 17, 2025 | Padova 0-1 Virtus Entella | Serie C - Supercoppa Lega Finals |
| Nov 3, 2021 | Padova 2-1 Virtus Entella | Coppa Italia Serie C |
Last archived meeting: Virtus Entella vs Padova on Apr 25, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Virtus Entella score 1.1 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Padova score 1.2 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Virtus Entella | 1.1 | 1.1 | 2 | 9/15 | 6/15 |
| Padova | 1.2 | 1.5 | 5 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Virtus Entella sit 14th in Serie B (6 points from 6 matches) and Padova sit 10th (7 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Padova | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 7 |
| 14 | Virtus Entella | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 7 | 6 |
A question about Virtus Entella vs Padova?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Virtus Entella vs Padova?
- The Footlab AI model makes Virtus Entella the favourite at 48%, against 27% for a draw and 25% for Padova.
- Where and when is Virtus Entella vs Padova played?
- Virtus Entella vs Padova is played on May 8, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Comunale Chiavari, in the Serie B.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.