Juve Stabia vs Ascoli: prediction and stats
Serie BRegular Season - 38Kick-off on May 14, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Comunale Romeo Menti, Castellammare di Stabia
The Footlab model makes Ascoli the favourite at 36%, against 28% for a draw and 36% for Juve Stabia. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Juve Stabia vs Ascoli?
Ascoli starts as the favourite with a 113-point Elo edge (1,968 vs 1,855).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Juve Stabia have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Ascoli have 8, 2 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Palermo(away) | 0-1 | Serie B |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Frosinone(away) | 1-4 | Coppa Italia |
| Aug 6, 2026 | Cavese(away) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Ischia(home) | 5-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 19, 2026 | Monza(away) | 1-2 | Serie B |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Hellas Verona(away) | 2-1 | Serie B |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Genoa(away) | 1-4 | Coppa Italia |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Potenza(home) | 3-1 | Coppa Italia |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Lazio(home) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Frosinone(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 0 Juve Stabia win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Ascoli win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 7, 2020 | Ascoli 2-2 Juve Stabia | Serie B |
| Sep 21, 2019 | Juve Stabia 1-5 Ascoli | Serie B |
| Aug 5, 2017 | Ascoli 3-2 Juve Stabia | Coppa Italia |
How many goals should we expect?
Juve Stabia score 1.5 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Ascoli score 1.5 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Juve Stabia | 1.5 | 1.3 | 3 | 10/15 | 7/15 |
| Ascoli | 1.5 | 0.9 | 6 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Juve Stabia sit 20th in Serie B (0 points from 1 matches) and Ascoli sit 2nd (3 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Ascoli | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 20 | Juve Stabia | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Juve Stabia vs Ascoli?
- The Footlab model makes Ascoli the favourite at 36%, against 28% for a draw and 36% for Juve Stabia.
- Where and when is Juve Stabia vs Ascoli played?
- Juve Stabia vs Ascoli is played on May 14, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Comunale Romeo Menti, in the Serie B.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.