Aserri FC vs Quepos Cambute: prediction and stats
Liga de AscensoRegular Season - 10Kick-off on October 4, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes Quepos Cambute the favourite at 43%, against 27% for a draw and 31% for Aserri FC. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Aserri FC vs Quepos Cambute?
Quepos Cambute starts as the favourite with a 188-point Elo edge (1,653 vs 1,465).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Aserri FC have 3 wins, 5 draws and 7 defeats; Quepos Cambute have 9, 2 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Municipal Grecia(home) | 3-2 | Liga de Ascenso |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Pitbulls Santa Barbara FC(home) | 1-1 | Liga de Ascenso |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Quepos Cambute(away) | 1-2 | Liga de Ascenso |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Guadalupe FC(away) | 2-0 | Liga de Ascenso |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Santa Ana(away) | 0-1 | Liga de Ascenso |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | AD Sarchí(away) | 1-1 | Liga de Ascenso |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Aserri FC(home) | 2-1 | Liga de Ascenso |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Municipal Grecia(away) | 0-2 | Liga de Ascenso |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Santa Cruz FC(home) | 4-0 | Liga de Ascenso |
| May 10, 2026 | ADR Jicaral(away) | 1-3 | Liga de Ascenso |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Aserri FC win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Quepos Cambute win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | Quepos Cambute 2-1 Aserri FC | Liga de Ascenso |
Last archived meeting: Quepos Cambute vs Aserri FC on Aug 16, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Aserri FC score 1.1 and concede 2.0 goals per match over their last 15; Quepos Cambute score 1.9 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aserri FC | 1.1 | 2.0 | 4 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| Quepos Cambute | 1.9 | 1.1 | 5 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Aserri FC sit 4th in Liga de Ascenso (7 points from 6 matches) and Quepos Cambute sit 3rd (7 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Quepos Cambute | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 7 |
| 4 | Aserri FC | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 7 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Aserri FC vs Quepos Cambute?
- The Footlab model makes Quepos Cambute the favourite at 43%, against 27% for a draw and 31% for Aserri FC.
- Where and when is Aserri FC vs Quepos Cambute played?
- Aserri FC vs Quepos Cambute is played on October 4, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC), in the Liga de Ascenso.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.