Medeama vs Ashanti Gold: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 12Kick-off on November 21, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)TNA Park, Tarkwa
The Footlab model makes Medeama the favourite at 58%, against 27% for a draw and 15% for Ashanti Gold. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Medeama vs Ashanti Gold?
A very open match: only 30 Elo points separate Medeama (1,661) and Ashanti Gold (1,631).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Medeama have 8 wins, 1 draws and 6 defeats; Ashanti Gold have 10, 1 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 12, 2026 | ASEC Mimosas(away) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 8, 2026 | SOA(away) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 27, 2026 | Basake Holy Stars(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 24, 2026 | Hearts of Oak(away) | 2-4 | Premier League |
| May 17, 2026 | Heart of Lions(home) | 5-2 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 17, 2026 | King Faisal(away) | 1-0 | Division One League |
| May 10, 2026 | PAC Academy(home) | 2-1 | Division One League |
| May 3, 2026 | Nsuopun Fidelity(away) | 0-3 | Division One League |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Skyy(home) | 4-1 | Division One League |
| Apr 11, 2026 | Rospak(away) | 1-0 | Division One League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 5 Medeama win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Ashanti Gold win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 8, 2022 | Medeama 2-0 Ashanti Gold | Premier League |
| Jan 3, 2022 | Ashanti Gold 0-1 Medeama | Premier League |
| May 23, 2021 | Medeama 1-0 Ashanti Gold | Premier League |
| Jan 17, 2021 | Ashanti Gold 0-0 Medeama | Premier League |
| Jan 25, 2020 | Medeama 1-0 Ashanti Gold | Premier League |
| Apr 28, 2018 | Medeama 2-1 Ashanti Gold | Premier League |
Last archived meeting: Medeama vs Ashanti Gold on May 8, 2022
How many goals should we expect?
Medeama score 2.0 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Ashanti Gold score 1.8 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 37% probability of over 2.5 goals and 38% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Medeama | 2.0 | 1.3 | 5 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
| Ashanti Gold | 1.8 | 1.1 | 6 | 5/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Medeama | 34 | 17 | 11 | 6 | 52 | 28 | 62 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Medeama vs Ashanti Gold?
- The Footlab model makes Medeama the favourite at 58%, against 27% for a draw and 15% for Ashanti Gold.
- Where and when is Medeama vs Ashanti Gold played?
- Medeama vs Ashanti Gold is played on November 21, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at TNA Park, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 37% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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