Match

Karela vs Basake Holy Stars: prediction and stats

Premier LeagueRegular Season - 12Kick-off on November 21, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Naa Sheriga Sports Complex, Nalerigu

KarelaBasake Holy Stars

The Footlab model makes Karela the favourite at 62%, against 26% for a draw and 12% for Basake Holy Stars. The most likely score is 1-0.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Karela vs Basake Holy Stars?

A very open match: only 53 Elo points separate Karela (1,569) and Basake Holy Stars (1,516).

Karela win62 %
Draw26 %
Basake Holy Stars win12 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Karela have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Basake Holy Stars have 6, 3 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Karela
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 24, 2026Nations(home)0-1Premier League
May 17, 2026Swedru All Blacks(home)1-0Premier League
May 10, 2026Vision(away)0-3Premier League
May 6, 2026Hearts of Oak(away)0-0Premier League
May 3, 2026Young Apostles(home)2-1Premier League
Basake Holy Stars
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Jun 18, 2026Aduana Stars(home)0-0Friendlies Clubs
May 27, 2026Medeama(away)1-2Friendlies Clubs
May 24, 2026Dreams(home)1-4Premier League
May 10, 2026Medeama(home)0-1Premier League
May 6, 2026Aduana Stars(home)2-0Premier League

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 4 meetings: 1 Karela win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Basake Holy Stars win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Apr 5, 2026Basake Holy Stars 1-0 KarelaPremier League
Nov 22, 2025Karela 3-2 Basake Holy StarsPremier League
Mar 9, 2025Karela 1-1 Basake Holy StarsPremier League
Oct 13, 2024Basake Holy Stars 1-0 KarelaPremier League

Last archived meeting: Basake Holy Stars vs Karela on Apr 5, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Karela score 0.9 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Basake Holy Stars score 0.7 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 35% probability of over 2.5 goals and 33% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Karela0.90.983/154/15
Basake Holy Stars0.71.093/154/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Karela sit 9th in Premier League (49 points from 34 matches) and Basake Holy Stars sit 12th (46 points from 34 matches).

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
9Karela34131011323349
12Basake Holy Stars3413714303946

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Karela vs Basake Holy Stars?
The Footlab model makes Karela the favourite at 62%, against 26% for a draw and 12% for Basake Holy Stars.
Where and when is Karela vs Basake Holy Stars played?
Karela vs Basake Holy Stars is played on November 21, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Naa Sheriga Sports Complex, in the Premier League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 35% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Karela and Basake Holy Stars

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