Karela vs Basake Holy Stars: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 12Kick-off on November 21, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Naa Sheriga Sports Complex, Nalerigu
The Footlab model makes Karela the favourite at 62%, against 26% for a draw and 12% for Basake Holy Stars. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Karela vs Basake Holy Stars?
A very open match: only 53 Elo points separate Karela (1,569) and Basake Holy Stars (1,516).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Karela have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Basake Holy Stars have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 24, 2026 | Nations(home) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| May 17, 2026 | Swedru All Blacks(home) | 1-0 | Premier League |
| May 10, 2026 | Vision(away) | 0-3 | Premier League |
| May 6, 2026 | Hearts of Oak(away) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| May 3, 2026 | Young Apostles(home) | 2-1 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 18, 2026 | Aduana Stars(home) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 27, 2026 | Medeama(away) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 24, 2026 | Dreams(home) | 1-4 | Premier League |
| May 10, 2026 | Medeama(home) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| May 6, 2026 | Aduana Stars(home) | 2-0 | Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 1 Karela win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Basake Holy Stars win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 5, 2026 | Basake Holy Stars 1-0 Karela | Premier League |
| Nov 22, 2025 | Karela 3-2 Basake Holy Stars | Premier League |
| Mar 9, 2025 | Karela 1-1 Basake Holy Stars | Premier League |
| Oct 13, 2024 | Basake Holy Stars 1-0 Karela | Premier League |
Last archived meeting: Basake Holy Stars vs Karela on Apr 5, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Karela score 0.9 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Basake Holy Stars score 0.7 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 35% probability of over 2.5 goals and 33% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Karela | 0.9 | 0.9 | 8 | 3/15 | 4/15 |
| Basake Holy Stars | 0.7 | 1.0 | 9 | 3/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Karela sit 9th in Premier League (49 points from 34 matches) and Basake Holy Stars sit 12th (46 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Karela | 34 | 13 | 10 | 11 | 32 | 33 | 49 |
| 12 | Basake Holy Stars | 34 | 13 | 7 | 14 | 30 | 39 | 46 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Karela vs Basake Holy Stars?
- The Footlab model makes Karela the favourite at 62%, against 26% for a draw and 12% for Basake Holy Stars.
- Where and when is Karela vs Basake Holy Stars played?
- Karela vs Basake Holy Stars is played on November 21, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Naa Sheriga Sports Complex, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 35% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Nov 21, 2026DreamsvsSamartex
- Nov 21, 2026Bechem UnitedvsAsante Kotoko
- Nov 21, 2026Berekum ChelseavsYoung Apostles
- Nov 21, 2026Hearts of OakvsAduana Stars
- Nov 21, 2026MedeamavsAshanti Gold
- Nov 21, 2026Bibiani Gold StarsvsSwedru All Blacks
- Nov 21, 2026VisionvsDebibi United
- Nov 21, 2026Port CityvsHeart of Lions