Ashdod vs Hapoel Kfar Shalem: prediction and stats
Liga LeumitRegular Season - 4Kick-off on September 6, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Yud-Alef Stadium, Ashdod
The Footlab model makes Hapoel Kfar Shalem the favourite at 44%, against 26% for a draw and 29% for Ashdod. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ashdod vs Hapoel Kfar Shalem?
A very open match: only 71 Elo points separate Ashdod (1,721) and Hapoel Kfar Shalem (1,791).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ashdod have 2 wins, 2 draws and 11 defeats; Hapoel Kfar Shalem have 8, 1 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 18, 2026 | Hapoel Afula(away) | 0-2 | Liga Leumit |
| May 18, 2026 | Ironi Kiryat Shmona(away) | 3-2 | Ligat Ha'al |
| May 13, 2026 | Hapoel Katamon(home) | 0-1 | Ligat Ha'al |
| May 10, 2026 | Hapoel Haifa(away) | 0-1 | Ligat Ha'al |
| May 3, 2026 | Ironi Tiberias(home) | 0-3 | Ligat Ha'al |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Bnei Yehuda(away) | 1-3 | Liga Leumit |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Kafr Qasim(home) | 2-0 | Liga Leumit |
| May 25, 2026 | Hapoel Rishon LeZion(away) | 6-2 | Liga Leumit |
| May 20, 2026 | Kiryat Yam SC(home) | 2-1 | Liga Leumit |
| May 15, 2026 | Hapoel Ramat Gan(away) | 1-2 | Liga Leumit |
How many goals should we expect?
Ashdod score 0.9 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Hapoel Kfar Shalem score 2.2 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ashdod | 0.9 | 1.7 | 2 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Hapoel Kfar Shalem | 2.2 | 1.9 | 2 | 12/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ashdod sit 12th in Liga Leumit (0 points from 1 matches) and Hapoel Kfar Shalem sit 10th (3 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Hapoel Kfar Shalem | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
| 12 | Ashdod | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ashdod vs Hapoel Kfar Shalem?
- The Footlab model makes Hapoel Kfar Shalem the favourite at 44%, against 26% for a draw and 29% for Ashdod.
- Where and when is Ashdod vs Hapoel Kfar Shalem played?
- Ashdod vs Hapoel Kfar Shalem is played on September 6, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Yud-Alef Stadium, in the Liga Leumit.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Sep 6, 2026Hapoel AfulavsMaccabi Kabilio Jaffa
- Sep 6, 2026Kafr QasimvsIroni Modi'in
- Sep 6, 2026Maccabi Ahi NazarethvsMaccabi Bnei Raina
- Sep 6, 2026Bnei YehudavsHapoel Rishon LeZion
- Sep 6, 2026Hapoel Ra'ananavsHapoel Kfar Saba
- Sep 6, 2026Maccabi Kiryat GatvsMaccabi Herzliya
- Sep 6, 2026Kiryat Yam SCvsHapoel Acre