Maccabi Ahi Nazareth vs Maccabi Bnei Raina: prediction and stats
Liga LeumitRegular Season - 4Kick-off on September 6, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Ilut Stadium, Ilut
The Footlab model makes Maccabi Ahi Nazareth the favourite at 40%, against 27% for a draw and 33% for Maccabi Bnei Raina. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Maccabi Ahi Nazareth vs Maccabi Bnei Raina?
A very open match: only 19 Elo points separate Maccabi Ahi Nazareth (1,738) and Maccabi Bnei Raina (1,719).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Maccabi Ahi Nazareth have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; Maccabi Bnei Raina have 4, 2 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | Hapoel Afula(home) | 0-1 | Liga Leumit |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Hapoel Ra'anana(away) | 0-2 | Liga Leumit |
| Feb 20, 2026 | Ironi Baka El Garbiya(away) | 3-0 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 13, 2026 | Hapoel Migdal HaEmek(home) | 4-2 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 6, 2026 | Hapoel Ironi Arraba(away) | 2-2 | Liga Alef |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Kiryat Yam SC(away) | 1-0 | Liga Leumit |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Bnei Yehuda(home) | 1-4 | Liga Leumit |
| May 18, 2026 | Maccabi Netanya(home) | 1-4 | Ligat Ha'al |
| May 13, 2026 | Ironi Tiberias(away) | 0-1 | Ligat Ha'al |
| May 9, 2026 | Ironi Kiryat Shmona(home) | 1-1 | Ligat Ha'al |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Maccabi Ahi Nazareth win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Maccabi Bnei Raina win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 25, 2022 | Maccabi Bnei Raina 2-1 Maccabi Ahi Nazareth | Liga Leumit |
| Nov 26, 2021 | Maccabi Ahi Nazareth 0-1 Maccabi Bnei Raina | Liga Leumit |
Last archived meeting: Maccabi Bnei Raina vs Maccabi Ahi Nazareth on Feb 25, 2022
How many goals should we expect?
Maccabi Ahi Nazareth score 1.8 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Maccabi Bnei Raina score 0.8 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maccabi Ahi Nazareth | 1.8 | 1.5 | 3 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Maccabi Bnei Raina | 0.8 | 1.9 | 3 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Maccabi Ahi Nazareth sit 13th in Liga Leumit (0 points from 2 matches) and Maccabi Bnei Raina sit 12th (3 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Maccabi Bnei Raina | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 3 |
| 13 | Maccabi Ahi Nazareth | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Maccabi Ahi Nazareth vs Maccabi Bnei Raina?
- The Footlab model makes Maccabi Ahi Nazareth the favourite at 40%, against 27% for a draw and 33% for Maccabi Bnei Raina.
- Where and when is Maccabi Ahi Nazareth vs Maccabi Bnei Raina played?
- Maccabi Ahi Nazareth vs Maccabi Bnei Raina is played on September 6, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Ilut Stadium, in the Liga Leumit.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.