Hapoel Afula vs Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa: prediction and stats
Liga LeumitRegular Season - 4Kick-off on September 6, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Afula Illit Stadium, Afula
The Footlab model makes Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa the favourite at 50%, against 23% for a draw and 27% for Hapoel Afula. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Hapoel Afula vs Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa?
A very open match: only 85 Elo points separate Hapoel Afula (1,693) and Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa (1,778).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Hapoel Afula have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa have 8, 4 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 18, 2026 | Ashdod(home) | 2-0 | Liga Leumit |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Dobrudzha(home) | 3-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 25, 2026 | Kafr Qasim(home) | 2-0 | Liga Leumit |
| May 19, 2026 | Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa(away) | 1-4 | Liga Leumit |
| May 15, 2026 | Hapoel Nazareth Illit(home) | 2-1 | Liga Leumit |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 18, 2026 | Kiryat Yam SC(home) | 2-6 | Liga Leumit |
| May 25, 2026 | Hapoel Hadera(home) | 6-1 | Liga Leumit |
| May 19, 2026 | Hapoel Afula(home) | 4-1 | Liga Leumit |
| May 15, 2026 | Kafr Qasim(away) | 2-2 | Liga Leumit |
| May 8, 2026 | Ironi Modi'in(away) | 1-4 | Liga Leumit |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Hapoel Afula win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 19, 2026 | Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa 4-1 Hapoel Afula | Liga Leumit |
| Feb 20, 2026 | Hapoel Afula 0-5 Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa | Liga Leumit |
| Oct 17, 2025 | Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa 1-2 Hapoel Afula | Liga Leumit |
| May 9, 2025 | Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa 2-0 Hapoel Afula | Liga Leumit |
| Jan 17, 2025 | Hapoel Afula 2-2 Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa | Liga Leumit |
| Sep 12, 2024 | Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa 2-2 Hapoel Afula | Liga Leumit |
Last archived meeting: Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa vs Hapoel Afula on May 19, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Hapoel Afula score 1.1 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa score 2.2 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 65% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hapoel Afula | 1.1 | 1.2 | 6 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
| Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa | 2.2 | 1.3 | 6 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Hapoel Afula sit 6th in Liga Leumit (3 points from 1 matches) and Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa sit 14th (0 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Hapoel Afula | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 14 | Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Hapoel Afula vs Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa?
- The Footlab model makes Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa the favourite at 50%, against 23% for a draw and 27% for Hapoel Afula.
- Where and when is Hapoel Afula vs Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa played?
- Hapoel Afula vs Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa is played on September 6, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Afula Illit Stadium, in the Liga Leumit.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 65% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.