Ashdod vs Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa: prediction and stats
Liga LeumitRegular Season - 2Kick-off on August 24, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Yud-Alef Stadium, Ashdod
The Footlab model makes Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa the favourite at 43%, against 26% for a draw and 31% for Ashdod. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ashdod vs Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa?
A very open match: only 58 Elo points separate Ashdod (1,720) and Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa (1,778).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ashdod have 2 wins, 2 draws and 11 defeats; Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa have 8, 4 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 18, 2026 | Hapoel Afula(away) | 0-2 | Liga Leumit |
| May 18, 2026 | Ironi Kiryat Shmona(away) | 3-2 | Ligat Ha'al |
| May 13, 2026 | Hapoel Katamon(home) | 0-1 | Ligat Ha'al |
| May 10, 2026 | Hapoel Haifa(away) | 0-1 | Ligat Ha'al |
| May 3, 2026 | Ironi Tiberias(home) | 0-3 | Ligat Ha'al |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 18, 2026 | Kiryat Yam SC(home) | 2-6 | Liga Leumit |
| May 25, 2026 | Hapoel Hadera(home) | 6-1 | Liga Leumit |
| May 19, 2026 | Hapoel Afula(home) | 4-1 | Liga Leumit |
| May 15, 2026 | Kafr Qasim(away) | 2-2 | Liga Leumit |
| May 8, 2026 | Ironi Modi'in(away) | 1-4 | Liga Leumit |
How many goals should we expect?
Ashdod score 0.9 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa score 2.2 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ashdod | 0.9 | 1.7 | 2 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa | 2.2 | 1.3 | 6 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ashdod sit 12th in Liga Leumit (0 points from 1 matches) and Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa sit 14th (0 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Ashdod | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 | Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ashdod vs Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa?
- The Footlab model makes Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa the favourite at 43%, against 26% for a draw and 31% for Ashdod.
- Where and when is Ashdod vs Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa played?
- Ashdod vs Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa is played on August 24, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Yud-Alef Stadium, in the Liga Leumit.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Aug 23, 2026Kafr Qasim4-0Hapoel Acre
- Aug 23, 2026Hapoel Kfar Saba1-4Ironi Modi'in
- Aug 23, 2026Maccabi Herzliya2-3Hapoel Ra'anana
- Aug 23, 2026Bnei Yehuda3-1Hapoel Kfar Shalem
- Aug 23, 2026Kiryat Yam SC0-1Maccabi Bnei Raina
- Aug 24, 2026Maccabi Ahi NazarethvsHapoel Afula
- Aug 24, 2026Maccabi Kiryat GatvsHapoel Rishon LeZion