ASO Chlef vs USM Alger: prediction and stats
Ligue 1Regular Season - 28Kick-off on May 8, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stade Mohamed Boumezrag, Chlef
The Footlab model makes ASO Chlef the favourite at 37%, against 31% for a draw and 32% for USM Alger. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win ASO Chlef vs USM Alger?
USM Alger starts as the favourite with a 108-point Elo edge (1,914 vs 1,806).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, ASO Chlef have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; USM Alger have 5, 6 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 5, 2026 | MC Alger(away) | 0-2 | Ligue 1 |
| May 20, 2026 | JS Kabylie(home) | 1-2 | Ligue 1 |
| May 7, 2026 | MC Oran(away) | 0-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Apr 17, 2026 | Olympique Akbou(home) | 1-0 | Ligue 1 |
| Apr 10, 2026 | Ben Aknoun(away) | 1-2 | Ligue 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 6, 2026 | MC Oran(away) | 2-2 | Ligue 1 |
| Jun 4, 2026 | Ben Aknoun(away) | 2-2 | Ligue 1 |
| Jun 2, 2026 | CR Belouizdad(home) | 1-1 | Ligue 1 |
| May 30, 2026 | MB Rouisset(away) | 0-1 | Ligue 1 |
| May 25, 2026 | Khenchela(away) | 1-2 | Ligue 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 ASO Chlef win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 USM Alger win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 5, 2026 | ASO Chlef 2-1 USM Alger | Ligue 1 |
| Nov 2, 2025 | USM Alger 1-0 ASO Chlef | Ligue 1 |
| Apr 30, 2025 | USM Alger 1-2 ASO Chlef | Ligue 1 |
| Oct 26, 2024 | ASO Chlef 0-0 USM Alger | Ligue 1 |
| May 25, 2024 | USM Alger 2-1 ASO Chlef | Ligue 1 |
| Jan 5, 2024 | ASO Chlef 0-1 USM Alger | Ligue 1 |
Last archived meeting: ASO Chlef vs USM Alger on Apr 5, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
ASO Chlef score 0.9 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; USM Alger score 1.3 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 36% probability of over 2.5 goals and 44% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ASO Chlef | 0.9 | 1.1 | 5 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
| USM Alger | 1.3 | 1.1 | 3 | 10/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
ASO Chlef sit 13th in Ligue 1 (34 points from 30 matches) and USM Alger sit 10th (39 points from 30 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | USM Alger | 30 | 8 | 15 | 7 | 34 | 29 | 39 |
| 13 | ASO Chlef | 30 | 9 | 7 | 14 | 26 | 31 | 34 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for ASO Chlef vs USM Alger?
- The Footlab model makes ASO Chlef the favourite at 37%, against 31% for a draw and 32% for USM Alger.
- Where and when is ASO Chlef vs USM Alger played?
- ASO Chlef vs USM Alger is played on May 8, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stade Mohamed Boumezrag, in the Ligue 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 36% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.