Asteras Tripolis vs Aris Thessalonikis: prediction and stats
Super League 1Regular Season - 11Kick-off on November 21, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Theodoros Kolokotronis, Tripoli
The Footlab AI model makes Asteras Tripolis the favourite at 39%, against 28% for a draw and 33% for Aris Thessalonikis. The most likely score is 1-1. If Asteras Tripolis wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 4,623 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 6, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Asteras Tripolis vs Aris Thessalonikis?
On Elo ratings, Asteras Tripolis has 1,869 points and Aris Thessalonikis 2,028.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Asteras Tripolis vs Aris Thessalonikis
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Asteras Tripolis
3-4-3- 9F. Macheda
- 7J. Bartolo
- 11K. Ketu
- 10Eder González
- 28Alex Méndez
- 27G. Kotsiras
- 21D. Kourbelis
- 16F. Brorsson
- 74D. Laskaris
- 6K. Chrisopoulos
- 1N. Papadopoulos
Aris Thessalonikis
4-2-3-1- 9T. Kadewere
- 18M. Hongla
- 7B. Garré
- 8C. Kouamé
- 97F. Jensen
- 29S. Papasarafianos
- 44B. Šutalo
- 4Fabiano
- 2J. Pétris
- 3O. Richards
- 33Ricardo Velho
Computed on November 6, 2026 at 07:05 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Asteras Tripolis have 2 wins, 6 draws and 7 defeats; Aris Thessalonikis have 8, 2 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026 | PAOK(away) | 1-2 | Super League 1 |
| Oct 27, 2026 | Kifisia(home) | 0-2 | Cup |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Levadiakos(home) | 0-0 | Super League 1 |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Panathinaikos(away) | 1-5 | Super League 1 |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Atromitos(home) | 2-1 | Super League 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026 | Levadiakos(away) | 0-3 | Super League 1 |
| Oct 28, 2026 | Panathinaikos(away) | 1-2 | Cup |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Atromitos(home) | 3-1 | Super League 1 |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Kifisia(away) | 2-1 | Super League 1 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Volos NFC(home) | 3-2 | Super League 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Asteras Tripolis win, 2 draws, 3 Aris Thessalonikis wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 10, 2026 | Asteras Tripolis 1-1 Aris Thessalonikis | Cup |
| Dec 20, 2025 | Asteras Tripolis 0-1 Aris Thessalonikis | Super League 1 |
| Nov 9, 2025 | Aris Thessalonikis 0-0 Asteras Tripolis | Super League 1 |
| May 10, 2025 | Aris Thessalonikis 4-2 Asteras Tripolis | Super League 1 |
| Mar 29, 2025 | Asteras Tripolis 0-2 Aris Thessalonikis | Super League 1 |
| Dec 23, 2024 | Asteras Tripolis 2-1 Aris Thessalonikis | Super League 1 |
Last archived meeting: Asteras Tripolis vs Aris Thessalonikis on Sep 10, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Asteras Tripolis score 0.9 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Aris Thessalonikis score 1.5 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Asteras Tripolis | 0.9 | 1.5 | 3 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
| Aris Thessalonikis | 1.5 | 1.8 | 3 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Asteras Tripolis sit 12th in Super League 1 (6 points from 9 matches) and Aris Thessalonikis sit 5th (16 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Aris Thessalonikis | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 17 | 16 |
| 12 | Asteras Tripolis | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 17 | 6 |
A question about Asteras Tripolis vs Aris Thessalonikis?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Asteras Tripolis vs Aris Thessalonikis?
- The Footlab AI model makes Asteras Tripolis the favourite at 39%, against 28% for a draw and 33% for Aris Thessalonikis.
- Where and when is Asteras Tripolis vs Aris Thessalonikis played?
- Asteras Tripolis vs Aris Thessalonikis is played on November 21, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Theodoros Kolokotronis, in the Super League 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.