Asteras Varis vs Ethnikos Asteras: prediction and stats
Gamma Ethniki - Group 9Group 9 - 5Kick-off on October 25, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Athlitiko Kentro Varis, Vari
The Footlab AI model makes Asteras Varis the favourite at 66%, against 21% for a draw and 13% for Ethnikos Asteras. The most likely score is 2-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 2,793 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Limited history for at least one of the two teams: read this prediction with caution.
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 18, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Asteras Varis vs Ethnikos Asteras?
Asteras Varis is a heavy favourite: 1,670 Elo points against 1,363, a 307-point gap.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Asteras Varis vs Ethnikos Asteras
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Asteras Varis
Not enough data to predict the Asteras Varis lineup.
Ethnikos Asteras
4-3-3- 23Dimitris Adamakis
- 14Stelios Mastrogiannis
- 40Ilias Mitseas
- GG. Harontakis
- 12E. Dima
- 92Leonidas Kasnetsi
- 6P. Theologou
- 3Atanas Pashkulev
- 32V. Lampropoulos
- 5Nikolaos Pantidos
- 91P. Gusev
Computed on October 18, 2026 at 09:44 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Asteras Varis have 5 wins, 6 draws and 4 defeats; Ethnikos Asteras have 0, 2 and 13.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Saronikos Anavyssou(home) | 1-0 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 9 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Ilioupoli(away) | 1-1 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 9 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Ilisiakos(home) | 0-2 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 9 |
| Apr 8, 2026 | Saronikos Anavyssou(home) | 1-0 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 6 |
| Apr 5, 2026 | AE Mykonos(home) | 0-0 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 6 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Ilisiakos(home) | 0-1 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 9 |
| Oct 24, 2012 | AEL Kallonis(home) | 2-2 | Cup |
| May 23, 2012 | Agrotikos Asteras(away) | 0-3 | Football League |
| May 20, 2012 | Thrasyvoulos(home) | 0-3 | Football League |
| May 16, 2012 | Kallithea(home) | 0-3 | Football League |
How many goals should we expect?
Asteras Varis score 1.3 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Ethnikos Asteras score 0.1 and concede 2.7. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Asteras Varis | 1.3 | 1.2 | 4 | 10/15 | 6/15 |
| Ethnikos Asteras | 0.1 | 2.7 | 1 | 1/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Asteras Varis | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 |
A question about Asteras Varis vs Ethnikos Asteras?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Asteras Varis vs Ethnikos Asteras?
- The Footlab AI model makes Asteras Varis the favourite at 66%, against 21% for a draw and 13% for Ethnikos Asteras.
- Where and when is Asteras Varis vs Ethnikos Asteras played?
- Asteras Varis vs Ethnikos Asteras is played on October 25, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Athlitiko Kentro Varis, in the Gamma Ethniki - Group 9.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.