Where and when is Stoke City U21 vs Borussia M'gladbach II played?

Stoke City U21 vs Borussia M'gladbach II is played on September 16, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC) at bet365 Stadium, in the Premier League International Cup.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 70% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Stoke City U21 vs Borussia M'gladbach II: prediction and stats

Premier League International CupGroup StageKick-off on September 16, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC)bet365 Stadium, Stoke-on-Trent, Staffordshire

Stoke City U21

Borussia M'gladbach II

The Footlab model makes Borussia M'gladbach II the favourite at 68%, against 18% for a draw and 14% for Stoke City U21. The most likely score is 1-2.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Stoke City U21 vs Borussia M'gladbach II?

Borussia M'gladbach II is a heavy favourite: 1,939 Elo points against 1,635 — a 304-point gap.

Stoke City U21 win14 %

Draw18 %

Borussia M'gladbach II win68 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Stoke City U21 have 3 wins, 1 draws and 11 defeats; Borussia M'gladbach II have 6, 3 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Stoke City U21
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 21, 2026	Brentford U21(home)	2-3	Premier League 2 Division One
Aug 18, 2026	Scunthorpe(away)	0-4	National League Cup
Aug 14, 2026	Leeds United U21(home)	0-0	Premier League Cup
Jul 21, 2026	Chester(away)	1-0	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 18, 2026	Tamworth(away)	1-3	Friendlies Clubs

Borussia M'gladbach II
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 21, 2026	Sportfreunde Siegen(away)	0-0	Regionalliga - West
Aug 15, 2026	FC Bocholt(home)	2-3	Regionalliga - West
Aug 8, 2026	Paderborn II(away)	3-1	Regionalliga - West
Aug 1, 2026	SV Rodinghausen(home)	2-0	Regionalliga - West
Jul 18, 2026	Fortuna Köln(away)	0-1	Friendlies Clubs

How many goals should we expect?

Stoke City U21 score 0.9 and concede 2.6 goals per match over their last 15; Borussia M'gladbach II score 1.9 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 70% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Stoke City U21	0.9	2.6	3	8/15	11/15
Borussia M'gladbach II	1.9	1.5	4	9/15	10/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Stoke City U21 vs Borussia M'gladbach II?: The Footlab model makes Borussia M'gladbach II the favourite at 68%, against 18% for a draw and 14% for Stoke City U21.
Where and when is Stoke City U21 vs Borussia M'gladbach II played?: Stoke City U21 vs Borussia M'gladbach II is played on September 16, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC) at bet365 Stadium, in the Premier League International Cup.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 70% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.