Match

Everton U21 vs Milan II: prediction and stats

Premier League International CupGroup StageKick-off on September 2, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC)The BIG HELP Stadium, Southport, Merseyside

Everton U21Milan II

The Footlab model makes Milan II the favourite at 44%, against 23% for a draw and 32% for Everton U21. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Everton U21 vs Milan II?

A very open match: only 22 Elo points separate Everton U21 (1,762) and Milan II (1,785).

Everton U21 win32 %
Draw23 %
Milan II win44 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Everton U21 have 3 wins, 5 draws and 7 defeats; Milan II have 6, 4 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Everton U21
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 21, 2026Liverpool U21(home)1-1Premier League 2 Division One
Aug 18, 2026Stockport County(away)3-6EFL Trophy
Jul 21, 2026Shrewsbury(away)0-1Friendlies Clubs
May 11, 2026Huddersfield Town U21(away)1-3Professional Development League
May 1, 2026Brentford U21(home)4-2Professional Development League
Milan II
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 10, 2026Chievo(away)1-2Serie D - Girone B
May 3, 2026Vogherese(home)10-1Serie D - Girone B
Apr 26, 2026Castellanzese(away)3-1Serie D - Girone B
Apr 19, 2026Varesina(home)0-1Serie D - Girone B
Apr 12, 2026Brusaporto(away)4-0Serie D - Girone B

How many goals should we expect?

Everton U21 score 1.7 and concede 2.3 goals per match over their last 15; Milan II score 2.1 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 68% probability of over 2.5 goals and 68% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Everton U211.72.3110/159/15
Milan II2.11.148/158/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Everton U21 vs Milan II?
The Footlab model makes Milan II the favourite at 44%, against 23% for a draw and 32% for Everton U21.
Where and when is Everton U21 vs Milan II played?
Everton U21 vs Milan II is played on September 2, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC) at The BIG HELP Stadium, in the Premier League International Cup.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 68% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Everton U21 and Milan II

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