Aston Villa vs Burton Albion: result 2-1 and analysis
ChampionshipRegular Season - 23Kick-off on December 26, 2016 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Villa Park, Birmingham
Full time
What was the result of Aston Villa vs Burton Albion?
Aston Villa won 2-1 on December 26, 2016.
Goalscorers
- 15′L. BacunaAston Villa
- 31′Jamie John WardBurton Albion
- 78′Ross McCormackAston Villa
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Aston Villa have 6 wins, 6 draws and 3 defeats; Burton Albion have 3, 4 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 18, 2016 | QPR(away) | 1-0 | Championship |
| Dec 13, 2016 | Norwich(away) | 0-1 | Championship |
| Dec 10, 2016 | Wigan(home) | 1-0 | Championship |
| Dec 3, 2016 | Leeds(away) | 0-2 | Championship |
| Nov 26, 2016 | Cardiff(home) | 3-1 | Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 17, 2016 | Newcastle(home) | 1-2 | Championship |
| Dec 13, 2016 | Huddersfield(home) | 0-1 | Championship |
| Dec 10, 2016 | Brentford(away) | 1-2 | Championship |
| Dec 3, 2016 | Rotherham(home) | 2-1 | Championship |
| Nov 26, 2016 | Preston(away) | 1-1 | Championship |
How many goals should we expect?
Aston Villa score 1.0 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Burton Albion score 0.7 and concede 1.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aston Villa | 1.0 | 0.9 | 4 | 8/15 | 3/15 |
| Burton Albion | 0.7 | 1.3 | 4 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy