Aston Villa vs Derby: result 1-1 and analysis
ChampionshipRegular Season - 45Kick-off on April 28, 2018 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Villa Park, Birmingham
Full time
What was the result of Aston Villa vs Derby?
Aston Villa and Derby drew 1-1 on April 28, 2018.
Goalscorers
- 14′C. JeromeDerby
- 84′L. GrabbanAston Villa
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Aston Villa have 9 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats; Derby have 4, 5 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 21, 2018 | Ipswich(away) | 4-0 | Championship |
| Apr 13, 2018 | Leeds(home) | 1-0 | Championship |
| Apr 10, 2018 | Cardiff(home) | 1-0 | Championship |
| Apr 7, 2018 | Norwich(away) | 1-3 | Championship |
| Apr 3, 2018 | Reading(home) | 3-0 | Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 24, 2018 | Cardiff(home) | 3-1 | Championship |
| Apr 21, 2018 | Middlesbrough(home) | 1-2 | Championship |
| Apr 14, 2018 | Burton Albion(away) | 1-3 | Championship |
| Apr 11, 2018 | Wolves(away) | 0-2 | Championship |
| Apr 7, 2018 | Bolton(home) | 3-0 | Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 1 Aston Villa win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Derby win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Dec 16, 2017 | Derby 2-0 Aston Villa | Championship |
| Feb 25, 2017 | Aston Villa 1-0 Derby | Championship |
| Aug 20, 2016 | Derby 0-0 Aston Villa | Championship |
How many goals should we expect?
Aston Villa score 1.9 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Derby score 1.4 and concede 1.5.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aston Villa | 1.9 | 1.0 | 7 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
| Derby | 1.4 | 1.5 | 4 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Derby | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 1 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy