Aston Villa vs Derby: result 1-0 and analysis
ChampionshipRegular Season - 34Kick-off on February 25, 2017 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Villa Park, Birmingham
Full time
What was the result of Aston Villa vs Derby?
Aston Villa won 1-0 on February 25, 2017.
Goalscorers
- 25′J. ChesterAston Villa
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Aston Villa have 3 wins, 2 draws and 10 defeats; Derby have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 20, 2017 | Newcastle(away) | 0-2 | Championship |
| Feb 14, 2017 | Barnsley(home) | 1-3 | Championship |
| Feb 11, 2017 | Ipswich(home) | 0-1 | Championship |
| Feb 4, 2017 | Nottingham Forest(away) | 1-2 | Championship |
| Jan 31, 2017 | Brentford(away) | 0-3 | Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 21, 2017 | Burton Albion(home) | 0-0 | Championship |
| Feb 14, 2017 | Cardiff(home) | 3-4 | Championship |
| Feb 11, 2017 | Bristol City(home) | 3-3 | Championship |
| Feb 8, 2017 | Leicester(away) | 1-3 | FA Cup |
| Feb 4, 2017 | Newcastle(away) | 0-1 | Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Aston Villa win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Derby win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2016 | Derby 0-0 Aston Villa | Championship |
How many goals should we expect?
Aston Villa score 0.6 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Derby score 1.4 and concede 1.5.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aston Villa | 0.6 | 1.5 | 2 | 5/15 | 5/15 |
| Derby | 1.4 | 1.5 | 5 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Derby | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 1 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy