Aston Villa vs Newcastle: result 1-1 and analysis
ChampionshipRegular Season - 9Kick-off on September 24, 2016 at 04:30 PM (UTC)Villa Park, Birmingham
Full time
What was the result of Aston Villa vs Newcastle?
Aston Villa and Newcastle drew 1-1 on September 24, 2016.
Goalscorers
- 28′T. ElphickNewcastle (o.g.)
- 88′A. TshibolaAston Villa
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Aston Villa have 1 wins, 6 draws and 8 defeats; Newcastle have 9, 3 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 17, 2016 | Ipswich(away) | 0-0 | Championship |
| Sep 14, 2016 | Brentford(home) | 1-1 | Championship |
| Sep 11, 2016 | Nottingham Forest(home) | 2-2 | Championship |
| Aug 27, 2016 | Bristol City(away) | 1-3 | Championship |
| Aug 20, 2016 | Derby(away) | 0-0 | Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 20, 2016 | Wolves(home) | 2-0 | League Cup |
| Sep 17, 2016 | Wolves(home) | 0-2 | Championship |
| Sep 13, 2016 | QPR(away) | 6-0 | Championship |
| Sep 10, 2016 | Derby(away) | 2-0 | Championship |
| Aug 27, 2016 | Brighton(home) | 2-0 | Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Aston Villa win(s), 3 draw(s), 3 Newcastle win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 7, 2016 | Aston Villa 0-0 Newcastle | Premier League |
| Dec 19, 2015 | Newcastle 1-1 Aston Villa | Premier League |
| Feb 28, 2015 | Newcastle 1-0 Aston Villa | Premier League |
| Aug 23, 2014 | Aston Villa 0-0 Newcastle | Premier League |
| Feb 23, 2014 | Newcastle 1-0 Aston Villa | Premier League |
| Sep 14, 2013 | Aston Villa 1-2 Newcastle | Premier League |
Last archived meeting: Aston Villa vs Newcastle on May 7, 2016
How many goals should we expect?
Aston Villa score 0.9 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Newcastle score 1.9 and concede 0.7.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aston Villa | 0.9 | 1.7 | 4 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Newcastle | 1.9 | 0.7 | 8 | 5/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy