Aston Villa vs Nottingham Forest: result 5-5 and analysis
ChampionshipRegular Season - 19Kick-off on November 28, 2018 at 07:45 PM (UTC)Villa Park, Birmingham
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What was the result of Aston Villa vs Nottingham Forest?
Aston Villa and Nottingham Forest drew 5-5 on November 28, 2018.
Goalscorers
- 3′L. GrabbanNottingham Forest
- 6′João CarvalhoNottingham Forest
- 11′T. AbrahamAston Villa
- 14′T. AbrahamAston Villa
- 22′M. CashNottingham Forest
- 36′T. AbrahamAston Villa (pen.)
- 51′J. LolleyNottingham Forest
- 71′T. AbrahamAston Villa
- 75′A. El GhaziAston Villa
- 82′L. GrabbanNottingham Forest
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Aston Villa have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Nottingham Forest have 7, 5 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 25, 2018 | Birmingham(home) | 4-2 | Championship |
| Nov 10, 2018 | Derby(away) | 3-0 | Championship |
| Nov 2, 2018 | Bolton(home) | 2-0 | Championship |
| Oct 26, 2018 | QPR(away) | 0-1 | Championship |
| Oct 23, 2018 | Norwich(away) | 1-2 | Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 24, 2018 | Hull City(away) | 2-0 | Championship |
| Nov 10, 2018 | Stoke City(home) | 0-0 | Championship |
| Nov 3, 2018 | Sheffield Utd(home) | 1-0 | Championship |
| Oct 30, 2018 | Burton Albion(away) | 2-3 | League Cup |
| Oct 27, 2018 | Leeds(away) | 1-1 | Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 2 Aston Villa win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Nottingham Forest win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 13, 2018 | Nottingham Forest 0-1 Aston Villa | Championship |
| Sep 23, 2017 | Aston Villa 2-1 Nottingham Forest | Championship |
| Feb 4, 2017 | Nottingham Forest 2-1 Aston Villa | Championship |
| Sep 11, 2016 | Aston Villa 2-2 Nottingham Forest | Championship |
Last archived meeting: Nottingham Forest vs Aston Villa on Jan 13, 2018
How many goals should we expect?
Aston Villa score 1.5 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Nottingham Forest score 1.5 and concede 1.0.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aston Villa | 1.5 | 1.3 | 4 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
| Nottingham Forest | 1.5 | 1.0 | 7 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy