Aston Villa vs Notts County: result 5-3 and analysis
League Cup2nd RoundKick-off on August 25, 2015 at 06:45 PM (UTC)Villa Park, Birmingham
Full time
What was the result of Aston Villa vs Notts County?
Aston Villa won 5-3 on August 25, 2015.
Goalscorers
- 16′Genaro SnijdersNotts County
- 24′Adama TraoréAston Villa
- 45′Jon SteadNotts County (pen.)
- 50′S. SinclairAston Villa
- 56′G. BurkeNotts County
- 78′S. SinclairAston Villa (pen.)
- 99′S. SinclairAston Villa
- 111′J. BennettAston Villa
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Aston Villa have 6 wins, 1 draws and 8 defeats; Notts County have 3, 6 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2015 | Crystal Palace(away) | 1-2 | Premier League |
| Aug 14, 2015 | Manchester United(home) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| Aug 8, 2015 | Bournemouth(away) | 1-0 | Premier League |
| May 30, 2015 | Arsenal(away) | 0-4 | FA Cup |
| May 24, 2015 | Burnley(home) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2015 | Accrington ST(home) | 1-1 | League Two |
| Aug 18, 2015 | Oxford United(away) | 1-3 | League Two |
| Aug 14, 2015 | Mansfield Town(home) | 0-2 | League Two |
| Aug 11, 2015 | Huddersfield(away) | 2-1 | League Cup |
| Aug 8, 2015 | Stevenage(away) | 2-0 | League Two |
How many goals should we expect?
Aston Villa score 1.3 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Notts County score 1.0 and concede 1.6.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aston Villa | 1.3 | 1.8 | 4 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
| Notts County | 1.0 | 1.6 | 3 | 10/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy