Milton Keynes Dons vs Notts County: prediction and stats
League OneRegular Season - 17Kick-off on November 28, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadium mk, Milton Keynes, Buckinghamshire
The Footlab AI model makes Milton Keynes Dons the favourite at 41%, against 27% for a draw and 32% for Notts County. The most likely score is 1-1. If Milton Keynes Dons wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,466 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Milton Keynes Dons vs Notts County?
A very open match: only 5 Elo points separate Milton Keynes Dons (1,876) and Notts County (1,882).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Milton Keynes Dons vs Notts County
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Milton Keynes Dons
3-1-4-2- 10A. Collins
- 9S. Nombe
- 24R. Wintle
- 15C. Bramall
- 26B. Wiles
- 2G. Jones
- 4D. Barlaser
- 5C. Goode
- 35C. Nelson
- 21M. Ekpiteta
- 23W. Dennis
Notts County
3-4-2-1- 9D. Kanu
- 8O. Cooper
- 18M. Palmer
- 26I. Samuels-Smith
- 14D. Lipsiuc
- 7C. Roberts
- 15J. Evans
- 12L. Ness
- 4J. Bedeau
- 3R. McDonald
- 1J. Gibbons
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 10:31 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Milton Keynes Dons have 3 wins, 7 draws and 5 defeats; Notts County have 3, 6 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Reading(home) | 1-5 | League One |
| Oct 6, 2026 | Brentford U21(home) | 7-1 | EFL Trophy |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Crawley Town(home) | 4-1 | EFL Trophy |
| Sep 17, 2026 | AFC Wimbledon(away) | 0-0 | League One |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Peterborough(home) | 1-1 | League One |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 | Nottingham Forest U21(home) | 5-1 | EFL Trophy |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Oxford United(home) | 1-2 | League One |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Grimsby(home) | 2-1 | EFL Trophy |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Reading(away) | 0-2 | League One |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Bradford(home) | 0-1 | League One |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Milton Keynes Dons wins, 3 draws, 3 Notts County wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Dec 29, 2025 | Milton Keynes Dons 1-1 Notts County | League Two |
| Dec 9, 2025 | Notts County 3-2 Milton Keynes Dons | League Two |
| Apr 2, 2025 | Notts County 3-0 Milton Keynes Dons | League Two |
| Dec 26, 2024 | Milton Keynes Dons 0-2 Notts County | League Two |
| Apr 1, 2024 | Notts County 3-3 Milton Keynes Dons | League Two |
| Sep 9, 2023 | Milton Keynes Dons 1-1 Notts County | League Two |
Last archived meeting: Milton Keynes Dons vs Notts County on Dec 29, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Milton Keynes Dons score 1.5 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Notts County score 1.1 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Milton Keynes Dons | 1.5 | 1.6 | 4 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
| Notts County | 1.1 | 1.4 | 1 | 10/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Milton Keynes Dons sit 23rd in League One (6 points from 8 matches) and Notts County sit 22nd (7 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Notts County | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 11 | 7 |
| 23 | Milton Keynes Dons | 8 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 9 | 15 | 6 |
A question about Milton Keynes Dons vs Notts County?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Milton Keynes Dons vs Notts County?
- The Footlab AI model makes Milton Keynes Dons the favourite at 41%, against 27% for a draw and 32% for Notts County.
- Where and when is Milton Keynes Dons vs Notts County played?
- Milton Keynes Dons vs Notts County is played on November 28, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadium mk, in the League One.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.