Åstorp vs Jonsered: prediction and stats
Division 2 - Västra GötalandVästra Götaland - 22Kick-off on September 20, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes Jonsered the favourite at 38%, against 26% for a draw and 36% for Åstorp. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Åstorp vs Jonsered?
A very open match: only 36 Elo points separate Åstorp (1,435) and Jonsered (1,471).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Åstorp have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Jonsered have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Kongahälla(home) | 2-0 | Division 2 - Västra Götaland |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Böljan(away) | 1-0 | Division 2 - Västra Götaland |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Lindome(home) | 0-2 | Division 2 - Västra Götaland |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Hestrafor(away) | 1-2 | Division 2 - Västra Götaland |
| Jun 27, 2026 | Torslanda(home) | 1-1 | Division 2 - Västra Götaland |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Galtabacks(away) | 1-1 | Division 2 - Västra Götaland |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Onsala(home) | 2-1 | Division 2 - Västra Götaland |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Landvetter IS(home) | 2-2 | Division 2 - Västra Götaland |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Lindome(away) | 3-2 | Division 2 - Västra Götaland |
| Jun 28, 2026 | Kongahälla(home) | 1-0 | Division 2 - Västra Götaland |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 1 Åstorp win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Jonsered win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 3, 2026 | Jonsered 4-2 Åstorp | Division 2 - Västra Götaland |
| Oct 11, 2025 | Jonsered 1-0 Åstorp | Division 2 - Västra Götaland |
| May 3, 2025 | Åstorp 1-0 Jonsered | Division 2 - Västra Götaland |
How many goals should we expect?
Åstorp score 1.2 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Jonsered score 1.6 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Åstorp | 1.2 | 1.6 | 2 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
| Jonsered | 1.6 | 1.7 | 3 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Åstorp sit 11th in Division 2 - Västra Götaland (13 points from 13 matches) and Jonsered sit 5th (21 points from 13 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Jonsered | 18 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 31 | 29 | 32 |
| 5 | Jonsered | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 22 | 23 | 21 |
| 11 | Åstorp | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 26 | 13 |
| 11 | Åstorp | 18 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 22 | 31 | 20 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Åstorp vs Jonsered?
- The Footlab model makes Jonsered the favourite at 38%, against 26% for a draw and 36% for Åstorp.
- Where and when is Åstorp vs Jonsered played?
- Åstorp vs Jonsered is played on September 20, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC), in the Division 2 - Västra Götaland.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.