Hestrafor vs Kongahälla: prediction and stats
Division 2 - Västra GötalandVästra Götaland - 22Kick-off on September 19, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes Hestrafor the favourite at 53%, against 22% for a draw and 25% for Kongahälla. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Hestrafor vs Kongahälla?
A very open match: only 79 Elo points separate Hestrafor (1,469) and Kongahälla (1,390).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Hestrafor have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Kongahälla have 3, 4 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Dalstorps(away) | 2-2 | Division 2 - Västra Götaland |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Qviding FIF(home) | 2-1 | Division 2 - Västra Götaland |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Västra Frölunda(away) | 3-3 | Division 2 - Västra Götaland |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Åstorp(home) | 2-1 | Division 2 - Västra Götaland |
| Jun 27, 2026 | Astrio(away) | 2-1 | Division 2 - Västra Götaland |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Åstorp(away) | 0-2 | Division 2 - Västra Götaland |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Västra Frölunda(home) | 4-0 | Division 2 - Västra Götaland |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Dalstorps(away) | 1-4 | Division 2 - Västra Götaland |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Onsala(home) | 0-0 | Division 2 - Västra Götaland |
| Jun 28, 2026 | Jonsered(away) | 0-1 | Division 2 - Västra Götaland |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 1 Hestrafor win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Kongahälla win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 17, 2026 | Kongahälla 0-3 Hestrafor | Division 2 - Västra Götaland |
Last archived meeting: Kongahälla vs Hestrafor on Jun 17, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Hestrafor score 2.1 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Kongahälla score 1.1 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 70% probability of over 2.5 goals and 68% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hestrafor | 2.1 | 1.9 | 2 | 12/15 | 13/15 |
| Kongahälla | 1.1 | 1.9 | 3 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Hestrafor sit 6th in Division 2 - Västra Götaland (20 points from 13 matches) and Kongahälla sit 12th (11 points from 13 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Hestrafor | 18 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 38 | 32 | 31 |
| 6 | Hestrafor | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 27 | 24 | 20 |
| 12 | Kongahälla | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 14 | 26 | 11 |
| 12 | Kongahälla | 18 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 19 | 33 | 15 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Hestrafor vs Kongahälla?
- The Footlab model makes Hestrafor the favourite at 53%, against 22% for a draw and 25% for Kongahälla.
- Where and when is Hestrafor vs Kongahälla played?
- Hestrafor vs Kongahälla is played on September 19, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC), in the Division 2 - Västra Götaland.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 70% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.