Astrio vs Västra Frölunda: prediction and stats
Division 2 - Västra GötalandVästra Götaland - 24Kick-off on October 4, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC)Söndrums IP, Eketånga-Söndrum, Halmstad
The Footlab model makes Västra Frölunda the favourite at 62%, against 21% for a draw and 18% for Astrio. The most likely score is 1-2.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Astrio vs Västra Frölunda?
Västra Frölunda starts as the favourite with a 185-point Elo edge (1,499 vs 1,314).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Astrio have 1 wins, 1 draws and 13 defeats; Västra Frölunda have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Böljan(home) | 0-1 | Division 2 - Västra Götaland |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Lindome(away) | 0-2 | Division 2 - Västra Götaland |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Torslanda(home) | 0-6 | Division 2 - Västra Götaland |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Qviding FIF(away) | 1-3 | Division 2 - Västra Götaland |
| Jun 27, 2026 | Hestrafor(home) | 1-2 | Division 2 - Västra Götaland |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Landvetter IS(home) | 1-0 | Division 2 - Västra Götaland |
| Aug 18, 2026 | IF Elfsborg(home) | 0-4 | Svenska Cupen |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Kongahälla(away) | 0-4 | Division 2 - Västra Götaland |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Hestrafor(home) | 3-3 | Division 2 - Västra Götaland |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Böljan(away) | 1-2 | Division 2 - Västra Götaland |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Astrio win(s), 1 draw(s), 4 Västra Frölunda win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 9, 2026 | Västra Frölunda 5-3 Astrio | Division 2 - Västra Götaland |
| Sep 27, 2025 | Västra Frölunda 5-1 Astrio | Division 2 - Västra Götaland |
| Jun 6, 2025 | Astrio 1-1 Västra Frölunda | Division 2 - Västra Götaland |
| Oct 6, 2024 | Astrio 5-1 Västra Frölunda | Division 2 - Västra Götaland |
| Jun 20, 2024 | Västra Frölunda 4-3 Astrio | Division 2 - Västra Götaland |
| Sep 23, 2023 | Västra Frölunda 1-0 Astrio | Division 2 - Västra Götaland |
Last archived meeting: Västra Frölunda vs Astrio on May 9, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Astrio score 0.6 and concede 2.6 goals per match over their last 15; Västra Frölunda score 2.2 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 66% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Astrio | 0.6 | 2.6 | 1 | 6/15 | 10/15 |
| Västra Frölunda | 2.2 | 1.7 | 4 | 8/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Astrio sit 14th in Division 2 - Västra Götaland (6 points from 13 matches) and Västra Frölunda sit 3rd (23 points from 13 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Västra Frölunda | 13 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 27 | 19 | 23 |
| 6 | Västra Frölunda | 18 | 8 | 6 | 4 | 37 | 28 | 30 |
| 14 | Astrio | 13 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 9 | 26 | 6 |
| 14 | Astrio | 18 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 11 | 40 | 6 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Astrio vs Västra Frölunda?
- The Footlab model makes Västra Frölunda the favourite at 62%, against 21% for a draw and 18% for Astrio.
- Where and when is Astrio vs Västra Frölunda played?
- Astrio vs Västra Frölunda is played on October 4, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at Söndrums IP, in the Division 2 - Västra Götaland.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 66% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.