Hestrafor vs Onsala: prediction and stats
Division 2 - Västra GötalandVästra Götaland - 24Kick-off on October 2, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes Hestrafor the favourite at 48%, against 22% for a draw and 29% for Onsala. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Hestrafor vs Onsala?
A very open match: only 38 Elo points separate Hestrafor (1,469) and Onsala (1,431).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Hestrafor have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Onsala have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Dalstorps(away) | 2-2 | Division 2 - Västra Götaland |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Qviding FIF(home) | 2-1 | Division 2 - Västra Götaland |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Västra Frölunda(away) | 3-3 | Division 2 - Västra Götaland |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Åstorp(home) | 2-1 | Division 2 - Västra Götaland |
| Jun 27, 2026 | Astrio(away) | 2-1 | Division 2 - Västra Götaland |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Lindome(home) | 1-4 | Division 2 - Västra Götaland |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Jonsered(away) | 1-2 | Division 2 - Västra Götaland |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Böljan(home) | 3-0 | Division 2 - Västra Götaland |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Kongahälla(away) | 0-0 | Division 2 - Västra Götaland |
| Jun 26, 2026 | Landvetter IS(home) | 2-4 | Division 2 - Västra Götaland |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 1 Hestrafor win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Onsala win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 16, 2026 | Onsala 5-1 Hestrafor | Division 2 - Västra Götaland |
| Aug 23, 2025 | Onsala 0-1 Hestrafor | Division 2 - Västra Götaland |
| May 23, 2025 | Hestrafor 1-3 Onsala | Division 2 - Västra Götaland |
How many goals should we expect?
Hestrafor score 2.1 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Onsala score 1.7 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 69% probability of over 2.5 goals and 69% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hestrafor | 2.1 | 1.9 | 2 | 12/15 | 13/15 |
| Onsala | 1.7 | 1.7 | 4 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Hestrafor sit 6th in Division 2 - Västra Götaland (20 points from 13 matches) and Onsala sit 9th (17 points from 13 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Hestrafor | 18 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 38 | 32 | 31 |
| 6 | Hestrafor | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 27 | 24 | 20 |
| 9 | Onsala | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 19 | 20 | 17 |
| 10 | Onsala | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 26 | 30 | 21 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Hestrafor vs Onsala?
- The Footlab model makes Hestrafor the favourite at 48%, against 22% for a draw and 29% for Onsala.
- Where and when is Hestrafor vs Onsala played?
- Hestrafor vs Onsala is played on October 2, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC), in the Division 2 - Västra Götaland.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 69% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.