Astur vs Gijón Industrial: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 2Group 2 - 23Kick-off on February 21, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Hermanos Llana, Oviedo
The Footlab model makes Astur the favourite at 46%, against 27% for a draw and 27% for Gijón Industrial. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Limited history for at least one of the two teams: read this prediction with caution.
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Astur vs Gijón Industrial?
Astur starts as the favourite with a 118-point Elo edge (1,745 vs 1,627).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 2 matches in all competitions, Astur have 1 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeats; Gijón Industrial have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 29, 2024 | Valladolid(home) | 1-4 | Copa del Rey |
| Oct 9, 2024 | Promesas EDF(home) | 2-0 | Copa del Rey |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | Colunga(home) | 6-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| May 3, 2026 | Mosconia(away) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Ceares(home) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Caudal(away) | 1-4 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Siero(home) | 3-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
How many goals should we expect?
Astur score 1.5 and concede 2.0 goals per match over their last 2; Gijón Industrial score 1.5 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Astur | 1.5 | 2.0 | 1 | 1/2 | 1/2 |
| Gijón Industrial | 1.5 | 1.9 | 2 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 2 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Gijón Industrial | 34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 36 | 57 | 32 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Astur vs Gijón Industrial?
- The Footlab model makes Astur the favourite at 46%, against 27% for a draw and 27% for Gijón Industrial.
- Where and when is Astur vs Gijón Industrial played?
- Astur vs Gijón Industrial is played on February 21, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Hermanos Llana, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.