Sporting Gijón II vs Caudal: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 2Group 2 - 23Kick-off on February 21, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Escuela de Fútbol de Mareo, Gijón
The Footlab AI model makes Sporting Gijón II the favourite at 59%, against 24% for a draw and 17% for Caudal. The most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 2,938 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 21, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Sporting Gijón II vs Caudal?
On Elo ratings, Sporting Gijón II has 1,940 points and Caudal 1,890.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Sporting Gijón II vs Caudal
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Sporting Gijón II
Not enough data to predict the Sporting Gijón II lineup.
Caudal
Not enough data to predict the Caudal lineup.
Computed on October 21, 2026 at 10:27 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sporting Gijón II have 8 wins, 5 draws and 2 defeats; Caudal have 7, 5 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Colunga(home) | 4-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Caudal(away) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Langreo(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Avilés Stadium(away) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Lealtad(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Lealtad(away) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Sporting Gijón II(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Praviano(away) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | L'Entregu(home) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Covadonga(away) | 0-4 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Sporting Gijón II wins, 2 draws, 2 Caudal wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Caudal 1-1 Sporting Gijón II | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| May 24, 2026 | Sporting Gijón II 1-2 Caudal | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| May 17, 2026 | Caudal 0-0 Sporting Gijón II | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Feb 15, 2026 | Sporting Gijón II 3-1 Caudal | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Oct 5, 2025 | Caudal 3-2 Sporting Gijón II | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Jan 19, 2025 | Sporting Gijón II 2-0 Caudal | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
Last archived meeting: Caudal vs Sporting Gijón II on Oct 11, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Sporting Gijón II score 1.7 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Caudal score 1.5 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sporting Gijón II | 1.7 | 0.9 | 6 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
| Caudal | 1.5 | 1.2 | 4 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Sporting Gijón II sit 1st in Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 (17 points from 7 matches) and Caudal sit 6th (12 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sporting Gijón II | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 14 | 5 | 17 |
| 6 | Caudal | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 7 | 12 |
A question about Sporting Gijón II vs Caudal?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Sporting Gijón II vs Caudal?
- The Footlab AI model makes Sporting Gijón II the favourite at 59%, against 24% for a draw and 17% for Caudal.
- Where and when is Sporting Gijón II vs Caudal played?
- Sporting Gijón II vs Caudal is played on February 21, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Escuela de Fútbol de Mareo, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.