Lealtad vs Langreo: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 2Group 2 - 23Kick-off on February 21, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Las Callejas, Villaviciosa
The Footlab model makes Lealtad the favourite at 42%, against 27% for a draw and 32% for Langreo. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Lealtad vs Langreo?
A very open match: only 71 Elo points separate Lealtad (1,786) and Langreo (1,857).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Lealtad have 4 wins, 2 draws and 9 defeats; Langreo have 8, 3 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 3, 2026 | Salamanca UDS(away) | 1-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Coruxo(home) | 2-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Apr 19, 2026 | UD Ourense(away) | 1-3 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Real Valladolid II(home) | 2-3 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Apr 4, 2026 | Atlético Astorga(away) | 4-3 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 12, 2026 | Marino de Luanco(away) | 1-6 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Llanes(away) | 3-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 3, 2026 | Real Oviedo II(away) | 2-3 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Numancia(home) | 1-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Real Valladolid II(away) | 0-3 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Lealtad win(s), 4 draw(s), 2 Langreo win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 8, 2026 | Lealtad 1-1 Langreo | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Nov 23, 2025 | Langreo 4-0 Lealtad | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Aug 14, 2024 | Langreo 1-1 Lealtad | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 10, 2022 | Langreo 1-1 Lealtad | Friendlies Clubs |
| Mar 21, 2021 | Lealtad 0-1 Langreo | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Jan 10, 2021 | Langreo 0-0 Lealtad | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
How many goals should we expect?
Lealtad score 1.1 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Langreo score 1.5 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lealtad | 1.1 | 1.7 | 3 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Langreo | 1.5 | 1.5 | 3 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Lealtad vs Langreo?
- The Footlab model makes Lealtad the favourite at 42%, against 27% for a draw and 32% for Langreo.
- Where and when is Lealtad vs Langreo played?
- Lealtad vs Langreo is played on February 21, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Las Callejas, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.