Asyut Petrol vs El Gouna FC: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 8Kick-off on October 30, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Asyut University Stadium, Assyut
The Footlab model makes El Gouna FC the favourite at 37%, against 32% for a draw and 31% for Asyut Petrol. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Asyut Petrol vs El Gouna FC?
A very open match: only 75 Elo points separate Asyut Petrol (1,751) and El Gouna FC (1,826).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Asyut Petrol have 5 wins, 7 draws and 3 defeats; El Gouna FC have 4, 7 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 26, 2026 | Smouha SC(away) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Petrojet(home) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| May 14, 2026 | Baladiyyat Al Mehalla(home) | 1-0 | Second League |
| May 7, 2026 | El Mansura(away) | 1-1 | Second League |
| Apr 30, 2026 | Raya Ghazl(home) | 1-0 | Second League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Future FC(home) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| May 28, 2026 | Petrojet(away) | 2-1 | Premier League |
| May 22, 2026 | El Geish(home) | 2-1 | Premier League |
| May 17, 2026 | National Bank of Egypt(away) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| May 12, 2026 | Kahraba Ismailia(home) | 0-1 | Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 1 Asyut Petrol win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 El Gouna FC win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Dec 4, 2025 | El Gouna FC 2-1 Asyut Petrol | Cup |
| May 4, 2023 | El Gouna FC 1-0 Asyut Petrol | Second League |
| Dec 8, 2022 | Asyut Petrol 1-0 El Gouna FC | Second League |
Last archived meeting: El Gouna FC vs Asyut Petrol on Dec 4, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Asyut Petrol score 1.3 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; El Gouna FC score 0.9 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 34% probability of over 2.5 goals and 42% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Asyut Petrol | 1.3 | 0.9 | 5 | 8/15 | 5/15 |
| El Gouna FC | 0.9 | 0.9 | 4 | 7/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Asyut Petrol sit 7th in Premier League (2 points from 2 matches) and El Gouna FC sit 9th (1 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Asyut Petrol | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| 9 | El Gouna FC | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Asyut Petrol vs El Gouna FC?
- The Footlab model makes El Gouna FC the favourite at 37%, against 32% for a draw and 31% for Asyut Petrol.
- Where and when is Asyut Petrol vs El Gouna FC played?
- Asyut Petrol vs El Gouna FC is played on October 30, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Asyut University Stadium, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 34% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.