Al Ittihad vs El Geish: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 8Kick-off on October 30, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC)Alexandria Stadium, Alexandria
The Footlab AI model makes Al Ittihad the favourite at 37%, against 32% for a draw and 31% for El Geish. The most likely score is 1-1. If Al Ittihad wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.1% of the 2,922 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 21, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Al Ittihad vs El Geish?
A very open match: only 37 Elo points separate Al Ittihad (1,814) and El Geish (1,776).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Al Ittihad vs El Geish
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Al Ittihad
4-2-3-1- 10Hossam Hassan
- 23I. Saviour
- 8Mohamed Toni
- 14Mohamed Fakhry
- 22Nour Alaa
- 35Pascal Phiri
- 5Mostafa Ibrahim
- 24Momen Awad
- 30K. Mosaad
- 7Mohamed Mostafa Mido
- 1S. Soliman
El Geish
4-3-3- 30Mohamed Atef
- 12Islam Mohareb
- 11Karim Tarek
- 25Ahmed Tarek
- 32Yehia Mostafa
- 22Mostafa Khawaga
- 4Mohamed Fathallah
- 24Z. Mohamed
- 8Ahmed Abdel Rahman Zola
- 21Khaled Abo Ziada
- 18Emad El Sayed
Computed on October 21, 2026 at 09:10 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Al Ittihad have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; El Geish have 4, 3 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 | El Gouna FC(home) | 2-1 | Premier League |
| Oct 8, 2026 | Wadi Degla(home) | 0-1 | League Cup |
| Sep 15, 2026 | AL Masry(away) | 2-0 | Premier League |
| Sep 7, 2026 | Asyut Petrol(home) | 1-0 | Premier League |
| Sep 2, 2026 | Abu Qair Semad(away) | 2-0 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 20, 2026 | Pyramids FC(home) | 1-4 | Premier League |
| Oct 13, 2026 | National Bank of Egypt(away) | 0-3 | Premier League |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Smouha SC(home) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| Sep 7, 2026 | Olympic El Qanah(away) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| Sep 1, 2026 | Masr(home) | 0-1 | Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Al Ittihad wins, 2 draws, 1 El Geish win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 13, 2026 | Al Ittihad 1-0 El Geish | Premier League |
| Feb 6, 2026 | El Geish 0-1 Al Ittihad | Premier League |
| Apr 28, 2025 | El Geish 1-2 Al Ittihad | Premier League |
| Nov 30, 2024 | Al Ittihad 0-1 El Geish | Premier League |
| Jul 4, 2024 | El Geish 0-0 Al Ittihad | Premier League |
| Feb 14, 2024 | Al Ittihad 2-2 El Geish | Premier League |
Last archived meeting: Al Ittihad vs El Geish on May 13, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Al Ittihad score 1.1 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; El Geish score 0.7 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 33% probability of over 2.5 goals and 41% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Al Ittihad | 1.1 | 0.9 | 8 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
| El Geish | 0.7 | 1.3 | 5 | 5/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Al Ittihad sit 4th in Premier League (13 points from 6 matches) and El Geish sit 15th (7 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Al Ittihad | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 13 |
| 15 | El Geish | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 12 | 7 |
A question about Al Ittihad vs El Geish?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Al Ittihad vs El Geish?
- The Footlab AI model makes Al Ittihad the favourite at 37%, against 32% for a draw and 31% for El Geish.
- Where and when is Al Ittihad vs El Geish played?
- Al Ittihad vs El Geish is played on October 30, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC) at Alexandria Stadium, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 33% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.1% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.