Al Ittihad vs El Geish: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 8Kick-off on October 30, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC)Alexandria Stadium, Alexandria
The Footlab model makes Al Ittihad the favourite at 35%, against 33% for a draw and 32% for El Geish. The most likely score is 0-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Al Ittihad vs El Geish?
A very open match: only 24 Elo points separate Al Ittihad (1,762) and El Geish (1,786).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Al Ittihad have 3 wins, 8 draws and 4 defeats; El Geish have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Zamalek SC(away) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| May 29, 2026 | National Bank of Egypt(away) | 2-2 | Premier League |
| May 23, 2026 | Ismaily SC(home) | 3-0 | Premier League |
| May 18, 2026 | Ghazl El Mehalla(away) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| May 13, 2026 | El Geish(home) | 1-0 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | El Mokawloon(home) | 1-0 | Premier League |
| May 28, 2026 | Wadi Degla(home) | 0-2 | Premier League |
| May 22, 2026 | El Gouna FC(away) | 1-2 | Premier League |
| May 18, 2026 | Pharco(home) | 1-0 | Premier League |
| May 13, 2026 | Al Ittihad(away) | 0-1 | Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Al Ittihad win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 El Geish win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 13, 2026 | Al Ittihad 1-0 El Geish | Premier League |
| Feb 6, 2026 | El Geish 0-1 Al Ittihad | Premier League |
| Apr 28, 2025 | El Geish 1-2 Al Ittihad | Premier League |
| Nov 30, 2024 | Al Ittihad 0-1 El Geish | Premier League |
| Jul 4, 2024 | El Geish 0-0 Al Ittihad | Premier League |
| Feb 14, 2024 | Al Ittihad 2-2 El Geish | Premier League |
Last archived meeting: Al Ittihad vs El Geish on May 13, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Al Ittihad score 0.9 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; El Geish score 0.7 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 31% probability of over 2.5 goals and 39% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Al Ittihad | 0.9 | 1.0 | 6 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
| El Geish | 0.7 | 0.9 | 8 | 4/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Al Ittihad sit 11th in Premier League (1 points from 1 matches) and El Geish sit 5th (3 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | El Geish | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 11 | Al Ittihad | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Al Ittihad vs El Geish?
- The Footlab model makes Al Ittihad the favourite at 35%, against 33% for a draw and 32% for El Geish.
- Where and when is Al Ittihad vs El Geish played?
- Al Ittihad vs El Geish is played on October 30, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC) at Alexandria Stadium, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 31% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.