Abu Qair Semad vs Ghazl El Mehalla: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 8Kick-off on October 31, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Abou Qir Fertilizers Stadium, Al Mandarah
The Footlab model makes Abu Qair Semad the favourite at 39%, against 32% for a draw and 29% for Ghazl El Mehalla. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Abu Qair Semad vs Ghazl El Mehalla?
A very open match: only 34 Elo points separate Abu Qair Semad (1,799) and Ghazl El Mehalla (1,765).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Abu Qair Semad have 6 wins, 7 draws and 2 defeats; Ghazl El Mehalla have 4, 8 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | National Bank of Egypt(home) | 1-0 | Premier League |
| May 14, 2026 | Raya Ghazl(home) | 4-0 | Second League |
| May 7, 2026 | Tersana(away) | 0-0 | Second League |
| Apr 30, 2026 | La Viena FC(home) | 1-0 | Second League |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Itesalat(away) | 1-1 | Second League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Pyramids FC(home) | 0-3 | Premier League |
| May 29, 2026 | Haras El Hodood(home) | 4-2 | Premier League |
| May 23, 2026 | Future FC(away) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| May 18, 2026 | Al Ittihad(home) | 1-0 | Premier League |
| May 13, 2026 | Masr(away) | 2-3 | Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Abu Qair Semad win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Ghazl El Mehalla win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 8, 2023 | Ghazl El Mehalla 2-0 Abu Qair Semad | Second League |
Last archived meeting: Ghazl El Mehalla vs Abu Qair Semad on Oct 8, 2023
How many goals should we expect?
Abu Qair Semad score 1.1 and concede 0.6 goals per match over their last 15; Ghazl El Mehalla score 1.0 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 33% probability of over 2.5 goals and 41% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Abu Qair Semad | 1.1 | 0.6 | 9 | 5/15 | 4/15 |
| Ghazl El Mehalla | 1.0 | 0.9 | 6 | 7/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Abu Qair Semad sit 6th in Premier League (3 points from 1 matches) and Ghazl El Mehalla sit 20th (0 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Abu Qair Semad | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 20 | Ghazl El Mehalla | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Abu Qair Semad vs Ghazl El Mehalla?
- The Footlab model makes Abu Qair Semad the favourite at 39%, against 32% for a draw and 29% for Ghazl El Mehalla.
- Where and when is Abu Qair Semad vs Ghazl El Mehalla played?
- Abu Qair Semad vs Ghazl El Mehalla is played on October 31, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Abou Qir Fertilizers Stadium, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 33% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.